2014 Draft and Training Camp
The plan for pick 1.1 is easy, then we go BPA after that, and then we'll see. OL depth would be good, a good cover man good, and maybe a receiver in that mix as well (though Manningham is pretty much what I was looking for as a starting slit end).
Code:
Pick Pos Name Adj DSSABP Dev Notes AP PreTC PostC
1.01 QB Van Brady 8.0 !+++!+ 27% Done deal, pencil him in 5 28/75
1.17 WR Otis Burrows 5.6 ! + + 19% 4.29 dash, PR, low RR wingman 4 38/65
3.15 CB Jerome Barreto 5.3 ++ +-+ 33% Solid combines, weak bars 2 17/35
6.01 QB Lionel Humphries 5.2 -+ 35% Good bar pattern, stability pick 0 14/40
6.15 WR Tommy Beard 4.0 ! ++- 21% Big BPR guy, ST bar 0 21/30
7.01 RG Lincoln Kuszewski 4.1 +++ 23% Combines and affinity plus 0 16/34
7.17 DE Courtney Nelson 4.4 +- - 47% Big PRT bar, affinity match 0 21/41
I trade our 4th and 5th round picks away to land 6th and 7th rounders in this draft and next it makes sense for AP purposes, at least.
1 Any other trade within current draft
We end up with, by my latest count, 11 AP remaining. Not bad at all.
0 Sign a FA rookie player to 1yr contract (FB Gati)
0 Sign a FA rookie player to 1yr contract (RB Ronald Knoll)
0 Sign a FA rookie player to 1yr contract (FB Grey)
1 Offer any other FA player his requested contract (TE Onobun)
So, we end up carrying exactly 53 into training camp, and it looks like we can bank a few AP for next season, unless I want to do a lot of renegotiating. We have 11 AP left before renegotiations.
Code:
Top Ten Most Likely Busts:
Name Team Pos Change
Burrows, Otis Buffalo FL -25
Ganther, Quinton Buffalo FB -10
Edwards, Ray Buffalo LDE -9
Yanda, Marshal Buffalo LG -8
Knoll, Ronald Buffalo RB -5
Evans, Lee Buffalo FL -5
Wimbley, Kamerion Buffalo WLB -4
Blades, Shannon Buffalo RB -4
Hughes, Harris Buffalo LDE -4
Gati, Benjamin Buffalo FB -4
Top Ten Most Likely Breakouts:
Name Team Pos Change
Beard, Tommy Buffalo SE 13
Spiller, C.J. Buffalo RB 5
Kirk, Dana Buffalo FS 4
Cassidy, Maurice Buffalo FL 2
Fletcher, Geoff Buffalo RB 1
Borders, Donnie Buffalo RCB 1
Neufeldt, Jason Buffalo LCB 1
Perez, Randal Buffalo SS 0
Boles, Grant Buffalo MLB 0
Briggs, Desmond Buffalo SE 0
So...wow. We dodge the VSOD with the QB, at least he's hanging at 36/74 and gained a formation. Fine. But receiver... wow. Otis Burrows basically fell apart, clearly a VSOD. And Tommy Beard roared to life, clearly just a volatility jump, rather than a true gain, I suspect. Anyway, they are now rated 21/40 and passable reserve (Burrows) and 30/43 and a solid wingman type. Seriously, these two probably just reversed places on my envisioned future depth chart. Not what I actually wanted, but I guess we'll make do. Sorta disappointed to fritter away the sort of pure speed we saw in Burrows, though. Beard probably will be a future gunner and tremendous position leader, though, assuming he's a long term keeper.
Anyway I don't see a major change in our gameplans for this year, as I don't expect an 11-formation rookie to light things on fire in any case. But next season, I think we begin building around Brady in earnest, and we ought to show signs of being a franchise that's on the right track.