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If Texas believed a share of a 16-team pie was better than a continued share of their 10-team pie, it would have partaken.
At a certain point, expanding the pie means less for everyone - rights are dependent on who belongs, and there are only a handful of schools (Texas and Notre Dame being in that group) that could truly make a difference.
Maybe that decision makes sense for the Pac-12 with Texas, but it doesn't make sense without Texas and it doesn't make sense for Texas.
You have two eight-team divisions and you don't see teams in the other division at home for 16 years. Might as well be in different conferences as you at least can develop a strong inter-conference rivalry instead.
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