Quote:
Originally Posted by dawgfan
Yes, his control is better. But that has no bearing on his BABIP - that's luck and defense (and given a slight boost due to his strong fly ball tendencies so far). And his home run rate is ridiculously low, especially considering his career low groundball rate. Again, basically luck.
The most encouraging sign (if you're a Peavy/White Sox fan) is that his velocity is up from last year. It hasn't shown up in an improved K rate - he doesn't appear to be missing bats any more than the previous 2 years - but he's walking less, which obviously is a benefit.
I'm not trying to take a dump on Peavy fans, but the in-depth numbers strongly suggest his ERA is greatly benefiting from luck right now.
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Yes definitely a lot of pitchers luck in there, I agree. I also agree on velocity being a good sign, but IMO the most encouraging sign is 2 complete games in a row. thats a sign of a healthy Peavy.