Quote:
Originally Posted by Ben E Lou
...and the people here who said Obama didn't have a chance in GA/SC.  (Though I'm surprised that SC seems more likely than GA. I had the opposite.) |
I'm actually shocked by that. Obama's % of the white vote in the deep south is stunningly bad; 10% in Alabama in 2008. Heck, if you look systemtically, the deep south is the political / racially segregated part of America - Minorities vote Democrat, Whites vote Republican. See table below.
Tables: White Vote for Obama « All Other Persons
1) In GA, I could see the city of Atlanta being a counter (urban liberals to pair with minorities); in SC, I'm curious what's driving it - what the hell passes for a city in South Carolina?
I thought the minority population in SC (African Americans) is only about 30% (for which we assume 95% will vote for him), so he needs to get a substantial portion of the white vote (30% + ) to win. I am surprised that he did better amongst the white vote in SC (where he got 26% of the White Vote) in 2008. In other words, is this a case of South Carolina being more "liberal" than Alabama or Louisiana or MS, or what are we missing?