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Old 09-17-2012, 09:10 PM   #2920
JPhillips
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Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA View Post
{shrug} There aren't that many of those left, and going after them is likely a diminishing returns thing as he turns off votes he might otherwise have gotten.

ABC/WaPo poll shows only 13% admitting a chance that they might change their minds by November. But the actual number of undecideds -- who can't predict which way they'll vote -- seems to be quite smaller, only 2% according to this LA Times piece (republished by AP) and that's a figure that includes people who are largely disaffected & aren't likely to vote anyway.

A couple of great points in that LAT/AP piece
1)

In other words, only 13% can't tell you for sure already and only 1/3rd of those seem likely to switch ... that's about 4% IF they vote at all.

2)

Hell, even Stephen Colbert managed a solid observation: “The fate of our country is now in the hands of people who don’t think about what they want until they get right up to the register at McDonald’s,”

Besides, if you're undecided at this point then what are the odds that you're gonna vote anyway?

Not only do they wait until the last minute, but they're far less likely to vote based policy than on "Who would you like to have a beer with," or because of a chain email they got from their cousin, or in an effort to bandwagon onto who they think will be the winning team.

In a close race the stupid, apathetic and distracted pick the winner.
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