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Old 10-30-2012, 06:42 PM   #4459
Solecismic
Solecismic Software
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Canton, OH
Quote:
Originally Posted by JPhillips View Post
Where can you find that assumption when his methodology is transparent?



His bias is towards polls that live call and use cell phones and against polls that have a poor track record. He applies the exact same standards to every poll. Rasmussen is not singled out.

If you feel strongly enough, you massage your model to reflect it. He calls out Rasmussen specifically, time and time again. Rasmussen's track record, though, isn't that bad, and includes two "best of shows" for the most important prediction in terms of media attention (overall vote). There's just been a campaign against Rasmussen (probably led by the Silver criticism).
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