[larrymcg421]

Originally Posted by Solecismic

No. I think he has his beliefs and thinks he's doing the right thing. Just like many Democrats feel their way is the only way and many Republicans feel their way is the only way.

He references his decision not to weight Rasmussen polls quite a lot. But when a poll comes along like NYT that seems designed to intentionally favor one side, he gives it a higher weight than anyone else's. He's a little blind here. Maybe he can't say what he thinks about his employer, though.

So far, I've seen many on one side go along with this Rasmussen attack, but if Rasmussen weren't at least decent, why is it still around?

Silver weights polls based on three methods:

1) Recency.
2) Sample size.
3) Past performance

He lists the formula for #3. Unless you think he's just completely making things up and treating Rasmussen and CBS/NYT differently than other pollsters, I'm not sure where you're coming from.

CBS/NYT was only .8 pts off on the Generic Congressional Ballot in 2010, whereas Rasmussen was 5.2 points off. (Gallup was a staggering 8.2 points wrong).

And I'm not sure which D+9 poll you're showing, but the most recent CBS/NYT national poll has a likely voter screen that produces a D+5 weighting.

Oct12c Elec