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Originally Posted by cartman
Wait, I thought Nate Silver was 'smug'.
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The funny thing is MBBF questions Silver's best work and touts some of his worst. The college football analysis was roundly lambasted as being simplistic and based on faulty assumptions. (Namely the "market share" of the fan base off of internet surveys.)
Biggest case in point was his estimate that Atlanta generates something like 1.7 million Georgia Tech fans to Georgia's 1.1 million. Anyone who has set foot in Georgia knows that ratio is reversed and probably doubled. Indeed the Wall Street Journal culled election polling this year for random questions on participants favorite college football team. Georgia outpolled Georgia Tech among participants 45% to 14%. There were several examples that were similarly glaring.
Silver has just redone that work here.
I love reading Nate, but this isn't his best work. Far from it.