Quote:
Originally Posted by Arles
This is a good article about the overall value:
Jhonny Peralta and the Price of Nerd Favorites | FanGraphs Baseball
He's hit .303, .239 and .299 the past 3 seasons. His BABIB has been .374, .275 and .325. For his career, his BABIB is .315 and ave is .268 - that seems pretty reasonable for an expectation. He's also averaged around 16 HR if you prorate last season over the past few years. So, if the Cards can get an average of his last 3 seasons on D at SS (10 UZR), ave (.270) and HR (16) - I think they will be pretty pleased. He had a 3.6 WAR last season and missed 50 games. A 3-4 WAR SS would be a massive improvement over Kozma.
In terms of money, Carp ($11 M), Beltran ($13 M), Furcal ($7 M), Mujica ($3 M) and Westbrook ($9 M) are all off the books. Add in the $6 mil raise for Wainwright and the Peralta contract and you are still about $25 mil under what they spent last year - esp when you count the money saved in the Freese trade. So, odds are this move isn't going to hurt them the next few years in terms of keeping their current young players. |
It is hard to argue against Dave Cameron. I guess I never really thought of Peralta as a "nerdy" type favorite. In fact I would have thought they would have some major concerns about a signing like that. People like me are likely just not understanding the market is flooded with extra money and limited resources available.