Quote:
Originally Posted by path12
Well to be fair, if steals happen before kills, it could be a steal and a kill by two different people. I am not going to surmise the likelihood of that.
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Back to this point, the likelihood of that is
exactly what I calculated. The probability of Vaimes choosing to steal from Chief, who had an item and
also was NK'd in the same night,
assuming he had no prior knowledge that Chief had an item or was going to be NK'd is precisely 0.9%.
So, either something happened that was 0.9% likely to happen. OR Vaimes
did have prior knowledge that Chief had an item, was going to be NK'd, or both.