Quote:
Originally Posted by BishopMVP
Over a 40 IP sample size ERA+ isn't the stat I'd use (Clayton Kershaw has an ERA+ of 88 f.e.), but when your other starters have an ERA+ of 72, 65, 65, and 60, yeah sadly 91 is solid. The Porcello contract is an overpay, certainly in $/y to keep the term down, but he should at least be a durable league-average starter (and pretty much has been this year). If we had 5 Porcello's we'd probably be tied for 1st right now.
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How about his career then
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His ERA+ since he's been in the league:
2009: 114
2010: 85
2011: 87
2012: 93
2013: 96
2014: 115
His career ERA+ is 97.
Now his Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) has been consistently lower than his ERA in Detroit (aside from last year, interestingly enough), so perhaps his below average numbers are due to poor defense by the Tigers. However, his FIP is once again below his ERA early on in Boston.
It appears his career Wins Above Average (WAA) is slightly above average for his career at 0.7, but that is definitely bolstered by his 2.1 WAA last season.
He's got 10.6 Wins Above Replacement (WAR) in 6 (full) seasons - that's 1.7 WAR per season (and consider that includes last year when he had 4.0 WAR). That's fairly below average.
Now, 91 may be "solid" when compared to the rest of the pitching staff this season in Boston, but he's definitely not a solid pitcher in the average.