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Around this time four years ago, there was a lot of polling in Iowa. The only one during the summer with more than 1,000 likely voters was the Magellan poll in early July.
Bachmann 29%, Romney 16%, Cain 8%, Gingrich 5%, Paul 5%, Santorum 3%. Rick Perry entered the race in August and immediately took the lead. And then we learned more about Rick Perry and he placed fifth in the actual Iowa caucus. Bachmann finished sixth. Cain was out of the race by then and Santorum won the caucus.
Right now, we really know nothing - even about Iowa.
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