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Old 07-27-2015, 01:59 PM   #295
JonInMiddleGA
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Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
Quote:
Originally Posted by revrew View Post
See, I'm arguing that's not even remotely true. That's not how the process works. If you look at the history of the polls, those that come out this early are completely clueless.

At this point in 2008, for example, Giuliani was the national poll leader. He was GONE by the time of the Iowa caucus.

At this point in 2012, Santorum wasn't over 2 percent nationally, wasn't over 3 percent in Iowa, but he not only won Iowa, he won 11 other states and came in 2nd.

Limiting to 10 is fine. Or doing two "heats" of 8. But NOT based on these polls. Putting any faith at all in these polls is the part I'm lambasting.

And (to my deep chagrin) ultimately Santorum amounted to nothing in 2012.

There have to be some limits to how many bodies are on that stage -- that's a practical reality for television (not the size of the stage, the amount of time each can get) -- so if not the polls then WHAT?
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