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I still think we have very little idea.
The height of the Rick Perry madness in 2011 was a Politico poll at the end of August. He had 36%, Romney 17%, Gingrich 10%, Bachman 10%.
Herman Cain peaked at 30% in October.
Newt Gingrich peaked at 40% in December.
Romney took the lead in January...
but Santorum won the Iowa Caucus and peaked at 39% in February.
Momentum is a funny animal. It seems far too early to predict anything. But I'll go ahead and predict that Trump is gone by the end of the evening in Manchester, New Hampshire, after scoring in single digits.
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