Front Office Football Central - View Single Post - USC In NCAA 53- A real life MP dynasty

muns · 10-27-2015, 02:18 PM

West New York 3 Conference (Conference Rank: 17)
1) Niagara 2) St. Bonaventure 3) Canisius
Sleeper: None
Preseason Player of the Year: G Curt To, Niagara
Preseason Newcomer of the Year: F Dan Judge, Niagara
Rising: n/a
Falling: n/a
Best Backcourt: Niagara
Best Frontcourt: Niagara
Best Offense: Niagara
Best Defense: Niagara
Best Bench: Niagara
Best Scorer: G Monroe Serrato, Niagara
Best Passer: G Curt To, Niagara
Best Rebounder: F Robert Lombard, Niagara
Best Defender: F Larry Lewis, St. Bonaventure
Best Sixth Man: G Matthew Ashton, Niagara
Best (Current) Professional Prospect: G Curt To, Niagara
NCAA Teams: Niagara
NIT Teams: None
Preseason All-Conference Team
G: Curt To, Niagara (Sr)
G: John Johnson, St. Bonaventure (Sr)
G: Monroe Serrato, Niagara (Sr)
F: Robert Lombard, Niagara (Sr*)
C: Grady Waters, Canisius (Jr)
Synopsis: The final chapter in this four-year run of Perez and To comes to an end, as Curtis graduates at the end of this year. It has been a very successful run for this pairing, with 43 wins in the last two years, and a NCAA win last year. That will likely not be the case this year, even with a couple of players as talented as Monroe Serrato and Robert Lombard flanking To. They should easily win the four-game playoff for a NCAA berth again (with all due respect, how does this guarantee a NCAA berth?), and should get a seven or eight-seed in the tournament field. That's about all they are good for, but it's definitely more than good enough for this small school.

Analytics
Reputation: 6th(48.0)
Talent: 12th(2.05)
Recruiting: 17th(2.00)

This trio is the picture of resting on your laurels. None of them are living up to their billing lately, most notably with Niagara with St. Bonaventure at least holding their ground to become the best here. On the whole, these schools are as overrated as the Independents, perhaps more so. It seems that most players want to play in the larger conferences, and if that continues the New York trio is in serious trouble.

Yankee Conference (Conference Rank: 14)
1) Connecticut 2) Massachusetts 3) Rhode Island
Sleeper: Vermont
Preseason Player of the Year: G Jessie Calvert, Connecticut
Preseason Newcomer of the Year: G Joaquin Goodwin, Maine
Rising: Vermont
Falling: New Hampshire
Best Backcourt: Connecticut
Best Frontcourt: Connecticut
Best Offense: Connecticut
Best Defense: Rhode Island
Best Bench: Connecticut
Best Scorer: G Jessie Calvert, Connecticut
Best Passer: G Jessie Calvert, Connecticut
Best Rebounder: F Henry Powell, New Hampshire
Best Defender: F John Buzzell, Vermont
Best Sixth Man: G Gary Garfield, Connecticut
Best (Current) Professional Prospect: G Jessie Calvert, Connecticut
NCAA Teams: Connecticut
NIT Teams: None
Preseason All-Conference Team
G: Jessie Calvert, Connecticut (Sr)
G: Harry Germany, Vermont (Sr)
F: Joe McInerney, Connecticut (Jr*)
F: Brien Taylor, Connecticut (Sr)
C: Josiah Douglas, Maine (Jr)
Synopsis: With the rest of the conference searching for answers, the Huskies march on, and the distance between them and the rest of the conference gets a little wider. Calvert, who burst onto the scene with a surprise All-American nod two years ago, is now a senior. He has a solid #2 in McInerney, and a very capable backcourt to rule the Yankee roost. UMass is a far cry from what they could be, and the rest of the conference is hoping for an off-night by the Huskies. They can get them...UConn has not gone through any season without at least two in-conference losses. New England travel can wear on teams in the winter. Regardless, the Huskies should see their way to another first-round loss in the NCAA Tournament.

Analytics
Reputation: 17th(29.2)
Talent: 17th(1.81)
Recruiting: 11th(2.25)

The Yankee Conference is another with one dominant team in Connecticut and everyone else chasing. In this case the chasers are abysmal without exception, and UConn is dominant only by comparison. Vermont and Rhode Island seem the best chances for a legitimate challenger riht now, with New Hampshire and UMass definitely at the bottom of the pile. The Huskies themselves are looking to build a future in which their influence extends further on a regional scale, bringing in a full half-dozen bodies this offseason. On the whole the Yankee is getting better, but it would be hard not to given it's present status as one of the nation's laughingstocks.

Independents (Conference Rank: -)
1) Duquesne 2) Dayton 3) La Salle
Sleeper: Seattle, Villanova
Preseason Player of the Year: G Chauncey Hinkley, Duquesne
Preseason Newcomer of the Year: F Arden Summer, Villanova
Rising: Villanova, Marquette, Oklahoma City
Falling: Louisville, Holy Cross, Temple
Best Backcourt: Duquesne, Notre Dame, Seattle
Best Frontcourt: Seattle, Dayton, La Salle
Best Offense: Notre Dame, Duquesne, Villanova
Best Defense: Seattle, Dayton, La Salle
Best Bench: Duquesne, Cincinnati, Villanova
Best Scorer: G Trent Rueda, Texas Tech; G Gregory Wyman, Seattle; G William Amador, DePaul
Best Passer: G Andrew Cosme, St. Joseph's; G Hubert Cox, Temple
Best Rebounder: C Brady Poe, Siena; C Denver Logan, Dayton
Best Defender: G Chauncey Hinkley, Duquesne; F Joe Gard, Miami; F David Harder, Seattle
Best Sixth Man: G Elvis Cox, Notre Dame; F Brent Dampier, Duquesne
Best (Current) Professional Prospect: G Chauncey Hinkley, Duquesne
NCAA Teams: Duquesne, Dayton, La Salle, Seattle, Villanova, Notre Dame,
NIT Teams: Temple, Holy Cross, Cincinnati, Oklahoma City, Marquette, St. Joseph's
Preseason All-Conference Team
G: Chauncey Hinkley, Duquesne (Sr)
G: Guy Jeter, Notre Dame (Sr)
F: Charles Tillery, Holy Cross (Jr*)
F: Jesus Jones, Seattle (Jr)
C: Denver Logan, Dayton (Sr)
Synopsis: A few teams, notably Seattle, Villanova, and Marquette, are attempting to disrupt the old guard of Duquesne, Dayton, and the like. Like with other conferences, this probably won't give way...this year. But Villanova is getting better, Marquette is young, Seattle is a rising giant in the West, and Notre Dame is consistently hawking underrated talent. While Duquesne is the king of the Indies, with Dayton a close second, there is a very close line between the top, and the second tier. By this time next year, it is likely that the line of the elite will grow to include these teams. For now, Seattle appears to be extremely dangerous. Watch them...they are hidden by the giants of Washington, San Francisco, and the rest...but they should not be overlooked for too long.

Analytics
Reputation: 9th(45.2)
Talent: 9th(2.34)
Recruiting: 15th(2.13)

Making generalized statements about the Independents as a whole is a risky thing: it's too large and diverse a group of schools for any such assessment to be entirely accurate. Fully a quarter of the nation's programs are to be found here. On balance though it is unquestionably the most overrated collection of teams at the present time. Many of those regarded as established powers are crashing, while few if any of the less-regarded teams are on the rise to any significant degree. Boston College, Cincinatti, Syracuse, Louisville, and Texas Tech are just a few of the more extreme examples of programs that are in very serious danger of a sharp decline. The Independents may have a very respectable reputation on the whole right now, but we don't see that lasting very long if current trends persist.

One notable exception is Duquesne, who in our evaluation is 8th both in overall talent level and this year's incoming recruits. Saint Joseph's, Temple, Villanova, Seattle, and Notre Dame are probably those with the best future behind them, but among the Independents Duquesne is in a class by themselves right now. Unfortunately, when it comes to offensive execution coach Ronald Polson is, well ... lacking is the nice way to say it. They should do ok defensively, but they need a more complete leader to consistently compete with the best in the nation. Still, last year's NIT visit should be an outlier, and we'd expect to see them winning an NCAA game or even two most seasons.

Our NCAA Picks: As always, we project the NCAA Tournament. We are making our selections based off of this model. Naturally, things change over the course of the season. However, this is our first actual projection of the season, along with our pick for the 1956-57 champion. If memory serves, we are one-for-three thus far.

Preseason Pick (Actual winner in parenthesis)
1953: Kansas over Bradley (Kansas over Duquesne)
1954: Kansas State over Indiana (Bradley over Kansas State)
1955: Kansas State over Indiana (Kansas over West Virginia)

Have we learned our lesson? Well, for starters, we put Kansas State and Indiana in the same region. So...maybe.

1 NC State Kentucky 1
8 Niagara W. Kentucky 8

5 Villanova Notre Dame 5
4 Seattle West Virginia 4
East South
3 Duke Arkansas 3
6 Saint Louis Alabama 6

7 St. John's Columbia 7
2 Duquesne North Carolina 2

1 Kansas State Kansas 1
8 Toledo Arizona 8

5 Dayton Southern Cal 5
4 California San Francisco 4
Midwest West
3 Bradley Iowa 3
6 La Salle SMU 6

7 Utah State Connecticut 7
2 Indiana Washington 2

East
Seattle over NC State; Duquesne over Duke
Seattle over Duquesne

South
Kentucky over West Virginia; Arkansas over North Carolina
Kentucky over Arkansas

Midwest
Kansas State over Dayton; Bradley over Indiana
Kansas State over Bradley

West
Kansas over Southern Cal; Washington over SMU
Kansas over SMU

National Semifinal
Kansas State over Seattle
Kentucky over Kansas

National Championship: Kansas State over Kentucky
The third time's the charm.

10-27-2015, 02:18 PM	#236
muns Pro Starter Join Date: Apr 2002 Location: Baltimore MD	West New York 3 Conference (Conference Rank: 17) 1) Niagara 2) St. Bonaventure 3) Canisius Sleeper: None Preseason Player of the Year: G Curt To, Niagara Preseason Newcomer of the Year: F Dan Judge, Niagara Rising: n/a Falling: n/a Best Backcourt: Niagara Best Frontcourt: Niagara Best Offense: Niagara Best Defense: Niagara Best Bench: Niagara Best Scorer: G Monroe Serrato, Niagara Best Passer: G Curt To, Niagara Best Rebounder: F Robert Lombard, Niagara Best Defender: F Larry Lewis, St. Bonaventure Best Sixth Man: G Matthew Ashton, Niagara Best (Current) Professional Prospect: G Curt To, Niagara NCAA Teams: Niagara NIT Teams: None Preseason All-Conference Team G: Curt To, Niagara (Sr) G: John Johnson, St. Bonaventure (Sr) G: Monroe Serrato, Niagara (Sr) F: Robert Lombard, Niagara (Sr) C: Grady Waters, Canisius (Jr) Synopsis: The final chapter in this four-year run of Perez and To comes to an end, as Curtis graduates at the end of this year. It has been a very successful run for this pairing, with 43 wins in the last two years, and a NCAA win last year. That will likely not be the case this year, even with a couple of players as talented as Monroe Serrato and Robert Lombard flanking To. They should easily win the four-game playoff for a NCAA berth again (with all due respect, how does this guarantee a NCAA berth?), and should get a seven or eight-seed in the tournament field. That's about all they are good for, but it's definitely more than good enough for this small school. Analytics Reputation: 6th(48.0) Talent: 12th(2.05) Recruiting: 17th(2.00) This trio is the picture of resting on your laurels. None of them are living up to their billing lately, most notably with Niagara with St. Bonaventure at least holding their ground to become the best here. On the whole, these schools are as overrated as the Independents, perhaps more so. It seems that most players want to play in the larger conferences, and if that continues the New York trio is in serious trouble. Yankee Conference (Conference Rank: 14) 1) Connecticut 2) Massachusetts 3) Rhode Island Sleeper: Vermont Preseason Player of the Year: G Jessie Calvert, Connecticut Preseason Newcomer of the Year: G Joaquin Goodwin, Maine Rising: Vermont Falling: New Hampshire Best Backcourt: Connecticut Best Frontcourt: Connecticut Best Offense: Connecticut Best Defense: Rhode Island Best Bench: Connecticut Best Scorer: G Jessie Calvert, Connecticut Best Passer: G Jessie Calvert, Connecticut Best Rebounder: F Henry Powell, New Hampshire Best Defender: F John Buzzell, Vermont Best Sixth Man: G Gary Garfield, Connecticut Best (Current) Professional Prospect: G Jessie Calvert, Connecticut NCAA Teams: Connecticut NIT Teams: None Preseason All-Conference Team G: Jessie Calvert, Connecticut (Sr) G: Harry Germany, Vermont (Sr) F: Joe McInerney, Connecticut (Jr) F: Brien Taylor, Connecticut (Sr) C: Josiah Douglas, Maine (Jr) Synopsis: With the rest of the conference searching for answers, the Huskies march on, and the distance between them and the rest of the conference gets a little wider. Calvert, who burst onto the scene with a surprise All-American nod two years ago, is now a senior. He has a solid #2 in McInerney, and a very capable backcourt to rule the Yankee roost. UMass is a far cry from what they could be, and the rest of the conference is hoping for an off-night by the Huskies. They can get them...UConn has not gone through any season without at least two in-conference losses. New England travel can wear on teams in the winter. Regardless, the Huskies should see their way to another first-round loss in the NCAA Tournament. Analytics Reputation: 17th(29.2) Talent: 17th(1.81) Recruiting: 11th(2.25) The Yankee Conference is another with one dominant team in Connecticut and everyone else chasing. In this case the chasers are abysmal without exception, and UConn is dominant only by comparison. Vermont and Rhode Island seem the best chances for a legitimate challenger riht now, with New Hampshire and UMass definitely at the bottom of the pile. The Huskies themselves are looking to build a future in which their influence extends further on a regional scale, bringing in a full half-dozen bodies this offseason. On the whole the Yankee is getting better, but it would be hard not to given it's present status as one of the nation's laughingstocks. Independents (Conference Rank: -) 1) Duquesne 2) Dayton 3) La Salle Sleeper: Seattle, Villanova Preseason Player of the Year: G Chauncey Hinkley, Duquesne Preseason Newcomer of the Year: F Arden Summer, Villanova Rising: Villanova, Marquette, Oklahoma City Falling: Louisville, Holy Cross, Temple Best Backcourt: Duquesne, Notre Dame, Seattle Best Frontcourt: Seattle, Dayton, La Salle Best Offense: Notre Dame, Duquesne, Villanova Best Defense: Seattle, Dayton, La Salle Best Bench: Duquesne, Cincinnati, Villanova Best Scorer: G Trent Rueda, Texas Tech; G Gregory Wyman, Seattle; G William Amador, DePaul Best Passer: G Andrew Cosme, St. Joseph's; G Hubert Cox, Temple Best Rebounder: C Brady Poe, Siena; C Denver Logan, Dayton Best Defender: G Chauncey Hinkley, Duquesne; F Joe Gard, Miami; F David Harder, Seattle Best Sixth Man: G Elvis Cox, Notre Dame; F Brent Dampier, Duquesne Best (Current) Professional Prospect: G Chauncey Hinkley, Duquesne NCAA Teams: Duquesne, Dayton, La Salle, Seattle, Villanova, Notre Dame, NIT Teams: Temple, Holy Cross, Cincinnati, Oklahoma City, Marquette, St. Joseph's Preseason All-Conference Team G: Chauncey Hinkley, Duquesne (Sr) G: Guy Jeter, Notre Dame (Sr) F: Charles Tillery, Holy Cross (Jr*) F: Jesus Jones, Seattle (Jr) C: Denver Logan, Dayton (Sr) Synopsis: A few teams, notably Seattle, Villanova, and Marquette, are attempting to disrupt the old guard of Duquesne, Dayton, and the like. Like with other conferences, this probably won't give way...this year. But Villanova is getting better, Marquette is young, Seattle is a rising giant in the West, and Notre Dame is consistently hawking underrated talent. While Duquesne is the king of the Indies, with Dayton a close second, there is a very close line between the top, and the second tier. By this time next year, it is likely that the line of the elite will grow to include these teams. For now, Seattle appears to be extremely dangerous. Watch them...they are hidden by the giants of Washington, San Francisco, and the rest...but they should not be overlooked for too long. Analytics Reputation: 9th(45.2) Talent: 9th(2.34) Recruiting: 15th(2.13) Making generalized statements about the Independents as a whole is a risky thing: it's too large and diverse a group of schools for any such assessment to be entirely accurate. Fully a quarter of the nation's programs are to be found here. On balance though it is unquestionably the most overrated collection of teams at the present time. Many of those regarded as established powers are crashing, while few if any of the less-regarded teams are on the rise to any significant degree. Boston College, Cincinatti, Syracuse, Louisville, and Texas Tech are just a few of the more extreme examples of programs that are in very serious danger of a sharp decline. The Independents may have a very respectable reputation on the whole right now, but we don't see that lasting very long if current trends persist. One notable exception is Duquesne, who in our evaluation is 8th both in overall talent level and this year's incoming recruits. Saint Joseph's, Temple, Villanova, Seattle, and Notre Dame are probably those with the best future behind them, but among the Independents Duquesne is in a class by themselves right now. Unfortunately, when it comes to offensive execution coach Ronald Polson is, well ... lacking is the nice way to say it. They should do ok defensively, but they need a more complete leader to consistently compete with the best in the nation. Still, last year's NIT visit should be an outlier, and we'd expect to see them winning an NCAA game or even two most seasons. Our NCAA Picks: As always, we project the NCAA Tournament. We are making our selections based off of this model. Naturally, things change over the course of the season. However, this is our first actual projection of the season, along with our pick for the 1956-57 champion. If memory serves, we are one-for-three thus far. Preseason Pick (Actual winner in parenthesis) 1953: Kansas over Bradley (Kansas over Duquesne) 1954: Kansas State over Indiana (Bradley over Kansas State) 1955: Kansas State over Indiana (Kansas over West Virginia) Have we learned our lesson? Well, for starters, we put Kansas State and Indiana in the same region. So...maybe. 1 NC State Kentucky 1 8 Niagara W. Kentucky 8 5 Villanova Notre Dame 5 4 Seattle West Virginia 4 East South 3 Duke Arkansas 3 6 Saint Louis Alabama 6 7 St. John's Columbia 7 2 Duquesne North Carolina 2 1 Kansas State Kansas 1 8 Toledo Arizona 8 5 Dayton Southern Cal 5 4 California San Francisco 4 Midwest West 3 Bradley Iowa 3 6 La Salle SMU 6 7 Utah State Connecticut 7 2 Indiana Washington 2 East Seattle over NC State; Duquesne over Duke Seattle over Duquesne South Kentucky over West Virginia; Arkansas over North Carolina Kentucky over Arkansas Midwest Kansas State over Dayton; Bradley over Indiana Kansas State over Bradley West Kansas over Southern Cal; Washington over SMU Kansas over SMU National Semifinal Kansas State over Seattle Kentucky over Kansas National Championship: Kansas State over Kentucky The third time's the charm.