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Old 12-09-2015, 07:58 AM   #1648
flere-imsaho
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Chicagoland
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA View Post
I think the GOP has two choices at this point: embrace Trump and let him win/lose the primary on his own merits OR attack him & pretty much ensure that a very significant portion of their core voters won't be showing up in November.

I've been saying this for a while, and it's increasingly the case. At this point, unless he polls single digits in Iowa & New Hampshire, it's hard to see how the GOP exclude his influence from the convention/general election (assuming he doesn't win the nomination) without publicly repudiating him and losing that group of supporters.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ben E Lou View Post
People keep bringing up leaders in past years and how early it is, but the more I think about it, the less I think that we can effectively compare this to previous elections. People abandoned their candidates as they made gaffes or didn't inspire, but they had alternatives. It was a small step for a Cain supporter to turn to Santorum, not a giant step for a Santorum supporter to flip to Gingrich, and then from Gingrich to "anything but Obama again!! Fine, I'll vote for Romney." Trump has continued to set himself us as monumentally different from every other GOP candidate. I'm very curious to see the next round of polls after this statement. I find it very hard to believe that anyone who doesn't abandon Trump over this is going to abandon him over something else.

This is a great point, and keeps striking me when I look at the graphs of the nominations for 2012 and 2008.
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