Some of my better predictions from early August:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Solecismic
Momentum is a funny animal. It seems far too early to predict anything. But I'll go ahead and predict that Trump is gone by the end of the evening in Manchester, New Hampshire, after scoring in single digits.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Solecismic
Trump may be tapping into hope and change. I don't see it, but it's not a safe move in the slightest. I still think he has a low ceiling, doesn't have the organization necessary to win the early contests, and would lose the general in a landslide.
More likely, Trump is an over-reaction to the "Obama Unplugged" president he became after his second inauguration. Things will settle down when it's finally time to make decisions. Of course, that probably means Scott Walker or YAB (yet another Bush).
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It's certainly not over yet, but it seems very likely Trump will have a yuuge lead at the end of next week, and the chances of a brokered convention where the others team up to stop him are getting lower.
What kind of candidate will he be with that big lead? He's both insulated against most mistakes and prone to making big mistakes (like skipping the FOX News debate). Will he make a mistake too yuuge even for his supporters?