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Originally Posted by Ben E Lou
By the way, I'm assuming that the "Chris Rock Effect" would explain this for a fairly significant number of Republican Hispanic voters. ("...a black woman with two kids at home bustin' her ass going to work every day HATES a bitch on welfare with nine kids...")
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Even ignoring the small sample size caveats, think about what Latino voter in Nevada (not quite a border state, but still in the Southwest and presumably frequently touching on illegal immigration issues) self-identifies as a Republican. Anyone who's strongly against "border security" or cares about the thinly veiled racism behind the sentiment would have long since left the Republican party.
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Originally Posted by JPhillips
Vice President Glen Beck
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Well, he was warming up the crowd for Ted Cruz last night, so I think we can safely rule him out (thank god!)
If we're throwing completely out of the box picks out there, what about Rudy Giuliani? The geography doesn't work (Haley and especially Kasich make a ton of sense there) and neither does age, but if you're basically running on national security Giuliani still has a good reputation in that area. Clearly the marriage issues that sidetracked his own political career would not be an issue!
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Originally Posted by nol
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Is that praise? It points out that there was 1300 voters.
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Originally Posted by AENeuman
It seems the nomination process does not care too much about specifics- Trump and Bernie. I just can't imagine that pass will carry through the summer and fall. To get voters beyond his base I think will require a more specific and nuanced narrative (and I'm not sure Trump has that in him).
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No, it doesn't. It requires an opponent that is strongly disliked, with overbearing, condescending supporters. Oh, hello Hillary!
Now, I think there is a strong argument that the nomination process is pretty fatally flawed and should be overhauled, but stick Trump head to head vs Hillary (or Bernie) and he's getting 45% of the vote minimum. And Hillary's a bad enough campaigner to gift him the 3% more needed to win.