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Super Tuesday Delegate Estimates:
Trump 256, Cruz 219, Rubio 96, Kasich 21, Carson 3.
Estimated Totals:
Trump 338, Cruz 236, Rubio 112, Kasich 27, Carson 8, Others 7
Total Allocated: 728 of 2472 (1237 needed to win)
Why are the Republicans doubling down on the attack Trump platform? Because I think it worked among the base.
So far, most contests have been open to all voters. But that becomes less the norm as the vote continues.
On Super Tuesday, Trump won 7 of the 8 open contests, losing only in Cruz's home state of Texas. He won none of three closed contests.
There are nine more contests in the next five days, with 328 delegates. Only two of them (Mississippi and Puerto Rico) are open.
This is a tiny five-day window to change the math before the WTAs on March 15, which could put Trump on track to reach 1,237.
If Trump does well in these next nine contests - winning five or more, let's say - I think the rhetoric slows down considerably. Rubio then banks everything on Florida (Florida is a closed primary) and Kasich banks everything on Ohio (Ohio is an open primary). Things calm down.
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