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Just like every other day in the race so far, it's deceptive to make any grand sweeping predictions based on one day's results. And there certainly mitigating factors, such as the closed caucuses -- Trump hasn't fared well in one of those yet.
That said, I'm definitely surprised with how much Cruz is dominating today, even if Maine gets closer than it is right now (44-34 as of now). The few polls out there certainly pointed toward Trump, especially in Kansas, and Maine seemed a logical place for Trump to win. We will see what happens in Kentucky and Louisiana, but both have been in Cruz's strategy from the beginning.
Geography was tilted toward Cruz as well -- but Trump losing Maine sticks out like sore thumb.
That said, it really makes you wonder if the combination of Romney's attack and the debate had an impact today. I think it's worth noting that Rubio has led most of the attacks on Trump from the field, and he's under performing today too. The ugliness of the last few days may be taking its toll on both of them, with Cruz staying just slightly above the fray.
Of course, that doesn't explain why Kasich isn't benefiting -- although ARG has a poll today putting him way up front in Michigan.
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