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Seems like the Sheep scored an upset over the Eagles tonight.
Trump is the story of the night, winning three states and remaining competitive in Idaho. Cruz had a solid night, finishing second in three states and winning Idaho easily.
Estimated Delegate totals for March 8 (and overall) so far: Trump 73 (464), Cruz 59 (364), Kasich 17 (54), Rubio 1 (154).
Kasich stays in the race as the potential compromise candidate if Trump doesn't reach 1,237. However, there will be more pressure on him to get out if he fails to win Ohio next week.
Rubio has admitted Florida is his do or die. But to come out of all these contests with one delegate - by virtue of reaching 12% in Hawaii, which has a closed caucus? He had two fourths today. If Florida were any later, he'd probably have to drop out now.
Trump has stopped the bleeding from the ABT campaign, but he's a little weaker and still not on pace to reach 1,237. For everyone else, 1,237 is pretty much impossible.
Cruz has a solid lead in the ABT primary, but geography becomes more difficult for him. He needed to have a huge overall lead at this point.
There are 367 delegates on the line next Tuesday, but it's also the beginning of WTA states. Stopping Trump in both Florida and Ohio probably leads to a contested convention. Trump wins in both states would put him on pace for the nomination, with momentum.
Has Kasich done enough to make it close in Ohio? I think so. Has Rubio done enough to make it close in Florida? Probably not, but Florida is a closed primary and this will be a very long week. The deadline to register for a party in Florida was 2/16.
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