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Old 03-15-2016, 09:32 AM   #4075
flere-imsaho
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Chicagoland
Quote:
Originally Posted by Coffee Warlord View Post
Doesn't really surprise me. Why pour resources into Illinois if you're a Republican when you know the state isn't going your way come November.

I dunno. It still has 69 delegates.

There have been 6 Illinois polls since mid-February (before which there wasn't a poll since last July). All show a comfortable, though declining, Trump lead. The last one showed him at +4 over Cruz.

My guess is the lack of resources is a combination of:

1. Focusing on Ohio
2. Only Cruz has a real shot of beating Trump in IL.
3. Besides Trump, only Cruz has plenty of money left/coming in

As an aside, on #3, there's this article from 3 weeks ago with data, but anything more up-to-date would be appreciated. But, as the aside, this seems correct in that a) I don't suspect Kasich has seen an uptick in contributions to anywhere approach Cruz and b) while I wouldn't be surprised if Rubio's incomings have been healthy, I would imagine he was spending heavily to try and win Florida.
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