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As of today (July 5th), RCP's polling average shows Clinton with a 4.6% lead over Trump. Of the 30 most recent polls they list (going back to mid/late-May) only 1 shows a Trump lead, while 4 show a Clinton double-digit lead.
Clinton's favorability rating has recovered somewhat from +20 Unfavorable in mid/late-May to about +16 Unfavorable now. Trump's has recovered too (somewhat) from +31 Unfavorable in mid-April to about +27 Unfavorable now.
Obama's net approval rating reached a high of +6% last week, though is about +3% now. However, prior to March he had consistently been in net disapproval since June, 2013.
What does all of this mean? I think it's hard to say. Clinton's lead is very healthy for this stage of the campaign compared to past campaigns. But on the other hand, there's so much that's unique about this race I'm not sure how much we want to rely on history.
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