Quote:
Originally Posted by Ben E Lou
I can think of another path in the four-team playoff. Let's say this year they go to a top-tier non-playoff bowl and beat a team that's not licking uber-recent wounds--this year's LSU team would be an excellent candidate, for example--they could score a neutral-site "kickoff classic" type game against...another LSU type team. Then beat an eventual 10-2 LSU/Notre Dame/Michigan/etc. (or if they're 8-4/9-3 and UCF beats 'em as badly as Bama/Ohio State did) in week 1 and run the table, and they're likely in.
But yeah, it's not happening based on two seasons without a true signature win. The last thing the committee wants is to stick its neck out for UCF and then they lose 45-7 in the semis. They're going to need to be confident that UCF can hang with the very best.
|
The counter point here is that only 2 of the 8 CFP semifinal games have been decided by less than 17 points. 3 of 8 have been decided by more than 30. We aren't exactly getting the most competitive match-ups.