Quote:
Originally Posted by Vegas Vic
Bloomberg as an independent would be a fascinating scenario. I think he might draw votes close to evenly from Trump and the Democrat nominee. As for Sanders, I don't see how he can put together an Electoral College to get to 270.
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I agree that I can't see a Sanders Electoral College win. I think an Electoral College win was going to be 50-50 for most of the Democratic Candidates. I think it is probably 60-40 against Sanders. I do think Bernie probably gets the most actual votes, maybe even by a wider margin than Hillary. The Electoral College just works too hard against him.
That said, at this point I just hope I am totally wrong. I think it is going to take something extraordinary to happen for there to be a mass exodus of Trump support. Even looking at 2018, the House was won back by largely suburban, mostly women voters. Suburban women voters are not the most progressive group, hence why they voted for Trump in the first place, even after "grab them by the pussy."