Quote:
Originally Posted by CU Tiger
There are 5 confirmed cases in Ohio.
5.
With a true r3 that’s 9 orders of magnitude. 9 Levels of r3.
South Korea who has done more tests than anywhere and has been dealing with this for much longer, before it contagious level was known ....has roughly 10% the number of infection in the entire country you suggest the state of Ohio has.
And that’s without taking into account hygiene and technology and density advantages Ohio would have.
|
The number of confirmed cases is meaningless. The US has no real testing going on.
South Korea has tested over 200,000 people. That's like 0.3% of their population. 4% of those tests have come back positive. They've been aggressive at quarantining and found the epicenter and did a good job shutting it down.
I'm not sure why this is shocking. We know it transmits easier than influenza. And 5-20% of Americans come down with that each year. There's no reason to believe that we won't topple that number considering there is no vaccine.