Quote:
Originally Posted by Arles
I think the issue is teams are usually trying to make one more run with the old QB and don't want to "waste a pick" on a young QB to groom. The problem is the bust rate on first picks is pretty close to 50-50, so there's a coin flip chance you waste the pick anyway. And the value of having a "good starter" level QB by drafting and grooming seems much higher than a 50-50 chance at a starting DT, WR or CB.
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I think the larger issue here is most teams don't want "dead" money invested in a guy you are grooming, when you can take a portion of that and upgrade another position. The opportunity cost in a high pick for a guy that needs to sit 2-3 years vs. a guy that could be an immediate starter.