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Some probability exercises.
Let's assume there are 3 total baddies. If there was a total role reassignment last night, the players have a 70% chance of being assigned good, 30% of being assigned bad. For those 7 who were good on D1.0, you can expect 5 of them to still be good. For those 3 who were bad on D1.0, you can expect 1 to still be bad (with whatever alignment). And 2 players on each side (4 total) would have switched alignment.
If there are only 2 total baddies (1 each of villager/vampire?, no vampire team?), you're likelier only to have 1 pair of players swap alignment, though you could still have 2 pairs do so.
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