Quote:
Originally Posted by Arles
It tells you how many people with the virus you can keep alive, it’s probably the most important number from this limited data set. If you have 1,000 cases and 30 die, it’s better than having 100 die. It shows that you have a better infrastructure with which to treat the sick patients. It also means how successful we’ve been at keep the most vulnerable from getting it.
Again, I agree you can’t tell a ton from the limited numbers, but you can see how many people with the virus you manage to keep alive. What’s a more important number than that?
|
The case fatality rate is going to be similar in all countries with similar medical advances. There's no reason to believe our treatments are so much better than France's or the UK's. If a country's medical system lags behind or if the cases get to a point where they overwhelm the medical system, the CFR could go up.
If the 1% CFR number proves to be true, there have been at least ten million cases in the US. Basing a stat on a number that undercounts cases by at least 80% doesn't get you anything worthwhile.