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I took 400-500k. We're at 120k and it cases seem to be going up and the country is opening. I'm also guessing that the 120k is undercounting a lot of deaths and in time will adjust when data scientists get a hold of things years from now. Also certain states are going to fudge the death numbers as we've seen from places like Florida so an exact count will be tough.
We're probably at least a year away from a vaccine that is readily available to the public. At even just 750 deaths a day, that would put us at over 400k by next year. And then you still have stragglers from those who can't or refuse to get the vaccine.
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