Quote:
Originally Posted by Brian Swartz
Actually we can't, because there is a wide variance between them. We don't know if it would have been the Italy plan, the Germany plan, the Belgium plan, the UK plan, the Sweden plan, the Norway plan, the Spain plan, the South Korea plan, or something else entirely that would have been followed. The calculus also has to include the excess deaths caused by economic restrictions, as uncomfortable as that is.
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I think when we're being compared more to the Russia plan and the India plan and the Brazil "plan", it's safe to assume we're in the bottom tier of responses.
And the calculus involving economic restrictions should definitely include how most other countries are more open than we are now because they have it down to a few isolated outbreaks rather than still having a /100K rate that's higher than most other countries as their peak even though it's "improving" here.
I know we can't double blind this with some alternate universe scope and see how a different President acts differently. But it's hard to see our response as anything but towards the bottom.
SI