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Old 10-23-2020, 03:26 AM   #5033
whomario
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jas_lov View Post
Raising the minimum wage has 60-70% support. Obamacare 55-60. They seem to be losing issues for Trump.

Most of the issues that apeal to his base are loosing issues in a scenario where voter turnout is equal and people vote based on issues. That's why they turned it into a Trump-based allegiance, at best based on "worldview" or being against something but not issues to vote for.

Not sure if that's underreported or whatever, but by and large the clear majority of americans leans more 'left' (including 'green') than people might think based on the discourse of these things being up in the air or split down the middle.

Take the oil/energy thing: Trump was smirking like half of americans think that's ludicrous (what Biden is saying) and that's all he needs, when in fact 70+% up to nearly 80% of americans in recent polls (19 gallup was 73% on a similarly worded Q and PEW in May this year 79) said they think there should be a higher emphasis on alternative sources of energy like solar/wind. It's even a clear majority among republicans by now.
I mean, yeah, you'll sometimes see some poll associated with Petroleum industry etc give a different impression by posing the question in a leading way f.e., but overall it seems pretty clear.



The problem is that in recent times the minority has been voting more consistently for a plethora of reasons, many of those by design but some also steeped in 'motivation' and/or sucking it up and voting the lesser evil. And/or ignored actual issues for some 'greater good' ("yeah, renewable energy is good but not if it also means XYZ ...")

The best chance Trump has at reelection has never been gaining more voters, but keeping people from voting for Biden one way or another while maintaining his 'base'. Trump/Republican issues would almost never win elections, if everybody voted/could vote.

It's like an NFL team running the ball every play or an NBA team using the shotclock every posession: Keep the game ugly and low scoring, thus increasing the impact of chance/freak events/one single issue or 'issue' (like this "Biden is corrupt" thing).
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Last edited by whomario : 10-23-2020 at 03:41 AM.
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