Quote:
Originally Posted by Ben E Lou
I'm thinking NC ends up stronger for Biden than anticipated. Some of the right may be shy about their backing of Trump here, but NOT SO for Forest for governor. However, all three polls in the last 10 days have increased Cooper's lead into the doubt digits. It's a quite passionate race because of COVID-19. NC has taken significantly stronger measures than nearly all nearby states, which has the right up in arms and the left determined to keep him in office over Forest, who has been vocal about wanting to open everything up full-blast. I think Biden gets a boost from COVID and Cooper here, especially with cases rising again.
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I agree with all this.
I lived in NC for 5-years and we spent last week there (since kids can be in school from anywhere anyway). Anecdotal, but I was surprised by the number of Biden signs that I saw in the eastern part of the state where it is more rural and there are a lot of settled and retired military families. There were definitely more Trump signs (and more fanatical Trump houses with giant flags and/or multiple signs), but I'd say it was something like 3-2 or 2-1. I would have expected the parts we went through to be more like rural WV and PA around here, where it is typically more like 10-1 or 15-1.
I was also amazed at the number of Cunningham/Tillis commercials - I have never seen anything like it. My 11-year old knows more about them than our own senators at this point. I have to think nearly 100% of voters know who they both are.
Between the signs, tone of the commercials, and fact that there is less chance of shenanigans (with the election being administered by a Dem executive branch), I think NC is more likely to go to Biden than FL.