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Just doing a bit of math on the Philly count, it's at 70% right now. The vote totals are 457,773 for Biden and 113,781 for Trump, giving it a 80/20 split for Biden. The mail in ballots should break even more for Biden, but let's assume it maintains the 80/20 spilt.
That puts Biden on track for 653,961 and Trump for 162,554, which would given Biden a net gain from 70% to 100% of 147,425 votes. Right now (8:20 AM EST) the difference is 164,414. And there are still of lot of votes to count outside of the city. Allegheny County (Pittsburgh) is at 89%, Delaware County and Bucks County (suburbs of Philly) are at 83% and 86%. Lots of red counties are in the 70s as well, and even though Trump will carry those counties in the end, Biden will probably pick up a net gain of votes in those counties as the mail in ballots are counted.
But like I said in Philadelphia, it should break more for Biden than that. In 2016, Hilary got 82.3% of the vote in Philadelphia and Trump got 15.3%.
If those percentages end up where we are in Philly, and I'll give all of the third party vote to Trump, that would give Biden 671,984 and Trump 144,521, and a net gain from 70% to 100% of the vote counted of 183,470.
God I'm bored...
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