Quote:
Originally Posted by Lathum
Heard an amazing stat today. Depending on how things break the giants can make the playoffs or get the 3rd overall pick.
Insanity.
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That division winning thins is a pretty easy one:
NYG beats Dallas and Washington lose at Philadelphia. It will create a 3-way tie with DAL, NYG and WAS all 6-10 and the head-to-head-to-head tie-breaker will make NYG's 3-1 record trump WAS' 2-2 and DAL's 1-3.
That 3rd overall pick part will require a lot of games falling their way, at minimum:
Atlanta beats Tampa Bay
Philadelphia beats or ties Washington
Houston beats Tennessee
Cincinnati beats or ties Baltimore
Detroit beats or ties Minnesota or after a loss has a better SOS
Carolina and Denver have 'clinched' a better SOS, they are out of the 3rd pick race.
Detroit (121 wins) currently has an SOS that is half a win worse than NY Giants (121.5 wins) and both teams will as a result of games played see an increase of 5 to their respective SOS. There are four games remaining that can get Detroit 'ahead' of NY Giants: the games of their four common opponents. Atlanta and Washington can increase Detroit's SOS, Chicago and LA Rams can increase NY Giants SOS. To get here, we'll need Atlanta to beat Tampa Bay (see above), which will give Detroit an additional win to their SOS already. Philadelphia has to at least tie, which means Washington can at most add 0.5 with a tie to Detroit's SOS. As a result, to get to the 3rd pick, NY Giants also need help from a losing LA Rams and/or losing Chicago.
If they end up tied on SOS, the team with the worse strength of victory will get the 3rd pick, which regardless of all the results will be slightly worse for Detroit and giving them the 3rd pick.