FWIW, I think that the PredictIt pricing on the nominee for Bryer's replacement is pretty spot on
Ketanji Brown Jackson at 65%
Leondra Kruger at 23%
J. Michelle Childs at 14%
I don't think that there's any real value there. But if I were placing money, I'd probably go with Childs at 14%. She's from SC, and I think that Biden still likes the aura of bipartisanship, and in this weird way that Senators still sometimes think locally even in 2022, I could see Scott and Graham signaling to the White House that they will support her if nominated and that being appealing to Biden.
All that said, it will likely be Jackson like everyone is predicting.
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