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The question is whether Russia can pretty much achieve their objectives quickly so Putin can show a win. Essentially keep the 2 Russian friendly regions and beat down Ukraine's military for the forseeable future. I don't see Russia wanting to occupy all of Ukraine (or at least not long term).
Haven't seen any recent polls but suspect majority of Russian's support this invasion (e.g. patriotism). They will turn against the war if it lasts too long and think Putin knows this. If there is any oligarch dissent, it won't be powerful enough right now. They owe their current and future fortunes by being in Putin's good graces.
So in the short term, Ukraine will have to put up a good showing. If they are able to prolong it and inflict heavy casualties, then all bets are off. But odds are in Putin's favor right now.
Strictly in military terms - I will be interested in reading how well Russian troops fight & effectiveness of their weaponry.
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