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Solecismic · 03-17-2022, 06:20 PM

Anyone who can figure out for certain who is and is not a franchise quarterback could run the NFL.

The GOAT is a sixth-round pick who likely never plays if not for a freak (and life-threatening) injury to a franchise quarterback the year after he's drafted.

His Hall-of-Famer rival who is a near-GOAT was the first pick of the draft, yet it seemed 50/50 whether he'd go ahead of a guy who went 4-17 in 21 career starts.

The wild card in play is what happens when a guy goes from college to the NFL and the game speeds up and defenses are disguised because this is a job and it's possible to have 100 looks in the playbook for a season with maybe 20-30 possible for a given game.

Try that in college when practice time is limited and everyone this side of Alabama has to protect a few starters who simply aren't fast enough or good enough or dedicated enough to cover much of anything.

Brady certainly didn't set the world on fire with his first season's stats. It's been said many times that the infamous Tuck Rule might be the only difference between returning to the bench in 2002 with Bledsoe back on the field. He didn't have a rating over 86.5 until his fourth season.

This makes me think that there are likely several other quarterbacks out there who have enough talent to make an NFL roster, but have never gotten enough reps in games to show that they can handle the faster NFL game.

Also, more seems to be about coaching and offensive scheme than some would like to admit.

All that said, trying to identify a quarterback with limited experience who looks, statistically, like he could become great... can't do it. You have to get that 5-10 games in that may be awful (Manning was awful in his rookie year) before much of anything should count. My only thought from recent years is that maybe Gardner Minshew is worth a longer look if he's solving his fumbling issues.

03-17-2022, 06:20 PM	#512
Solecismic Solecismic Software Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Canton, OH	Anyone who can figure out for certain who is and is not a franchise quarterback could run the NFL. The GOAT is a sixth-round pick who likely never plays if not for a freak (and life-threatening) injury to a franchise quarterback the year after he's drafted. His Hall-of-Famer rival who is a near-GOAT was the first pick of the draft, yet it seemed 50/50 whether he'd go ahead of a guy who went 4-17 in 21 career starts. The wild card in play is what happens when a guy goes from college to the NFL and the game speeds up and defenses are disguised because this is a job and it's possible to have 100 looks in the playbook for a season with maybe 20-30 possible for a given game. Try that in college when practice time is limited and everyone this side of Alabama has to protect a few starters who simply aren't fast enough or good enough or dedicated enough to cover much of anything. Brady certainly didn't set the world on fire with his first season's stats. It's been said many times that the infamous Tuck Rule might be the only difference between returning to the bench in 2002 with Bledsoe back on the field. He didn't have a rating over 86.5 until his fourth season. This makes me think that there are likely several other quarterbacks out there who have enough talent to make an NFL roster, but have never gotten enough reps in games to show that they can handle the faster NFL game. Also, more seems to be about coaching and offensive scheme than some would like to admit. All that said, trying to identify a quarterback with limited experience who looks, statistically, like he could become great... can't do it. You have to get that 5-10 games in that may be awful (Manning was awful in his rookie year) before much of anything should count. My only thought from recent years is that maybe Gardner Minshew is worth a longer look if he's solving his fumbling issues.