Coronavirus (COVID-19) Updates - Texas Medical Center
It looks like Houston is about to climb our annual winter surge peak. We've had a nice lull over the past couple of months but that's about to end. Wastewater samples have been going up for a month now and case positivity has jumped from 2.6 to 3.2 to 5.0 over the last 3 weeks. I expect a more gradual climb with another week or two before we get into double digits like we had in 2020 rather than just going vertical like last year (2.8 -> 7.1! -> 17.3!! -> 29.2!!!).
I can't speak to the rest of the country, as the effects have a very local flavor, but here it's very cyclical. We have an acute winter peak with a pretty steady drop off and a more rounded summer peak. Sure, vaccines have introduced some noise, but the pattern is pretty obvious.
SI