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Old 07-07-2023, 02:04 AM   #8
Izulde
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Primary Results
CT-1: Theodore Dwight (1, Moderate)
This was a hotly contested race, as all five Federalist candidates were tied after the first round of voting. A second round of voting saw [b]Theodore Dwight[/] emerge the winner in a narrow victory. This was a mild upset over Ebenezer Huntington, the early favorite.

CT-2: Benjamin Tallmadge (1, Conservative) (Toss-up seat)
Noah Webster was the heavy favorite in this one, but he suffered a shocking loss to Lyman Law. Benjamin Tallmadge again suffered primary defeat even though he switched from running in CT-1 to CT-2.

DE-1: James A Bayard Sr (1, Conservative)
Caleb Rodney was the odds-on favorite going into this one, and he did indeed capture the nomination. But it was a very tight race between the three Federalists running, as close as it could be without another three-way tie in initial voting. High voter enthusiasm and turnout for this one.

MA-4: Peleg Coffin Jr (1, Moderate) (Toss-up Seat)
He was soundly trounced finishing a distant third. Favorite Eli P Ashmun narrowly defeated Jonathan Mason in a race that featured relatively low voter enthusiasm and turnout overall.

MD-1: George Dent (1, Conservative)
George Dent and John Hoskins Stone were co-favorites, but no one turned out for JHS. Instead, the greatest challenge came from moderate Charles C Ridgley, and it was Dent's conservativism in a district that favored it which carried him to the Moderate Federalists' second primary win of the night.

NC-2 Gabriel Holmes (1, RW Pop)
Somehow this one got left off the initial list. He won, narrowly topping John Culpepper as the only two candidates in the race.

NH-1: Clifton Claggett (1, Moderate)
Liberal Arthur Livermore was the going-away favorite, and neither Claggett nor William Hale offered much challenge.

NJ-2: Richard Stockton (1, Moderate, Faction Leader) (Toss-up Seat)
The faction leader suffered a close loss to Samuel Swan, continuing to raise calls for his ouster in favor of someone who could actually win an election and be a point of pride.

NY-3: Philip van Cortlandt (1, Conservative) (Toss-up Seat)
Finished last in a four-way race which was won handily by the favored Ambrose Spencer

NY-4: Philip J Schuyler (1, Moderate) (Red +2 Seat)
Everyone expected this to be an easy victory for Conservatives faction leader Alexander Hamilton. So easy in fact, that a lot of people simply failed to vote for three of the four candidates. But large numbers of people did come out in favor of the son of the Revolutionary War General Schuyler, who pulled off the stunning upset of Hamilton in a narrow, narrow win.

OH-1: Jacob Burnet (1, Moderate)
William Stephens Smith was his only opposition and Burnet beat the deeply unpopular WSS with ease.

PA-2: Amos Slaymaker (1, Moderate) (Red +2 Seat)
Slaymaker slayed John W Kittera, his only challenger, in the biggest rout so far of the Moderate Federalist races profiled.

RI-1: Asher Robbins (1, Moderate)
Richard Jackson Jr and Theodore Foster were co-favorites. As expected, Robbins finished last, while RJJ ran roughshod over both of the other candidates.

SC-1: Robert Barnwell (2, Moderate) (Military Track*)
Charles Coatesworth Pickney ran, removing Barnwell from consideration.

VT-1: Dudley Chase (1. Moderate)
Francis Dana was the favorite and just narrowly beat Chase, who had a very enthusiastic turnout.

House Primaries Contested: 14
House Primaries Won: 6

The Moderate Federalists were over the moon, especially the stunning NY-4 victory for the younger Schuyler over Hamilton.

Early reports suggested:
Chance at winning: Dwight (CT-1); Schuyler (NY-4); Slaymaker (PA-2)
Likely loss: Dent (MD-1)
Almost certain loss: Holmes (NC-2); Burnet (OH-1)

For the governor's races...

DE: George Truitt (1, Moderate)
Soundly beaten by John Clark

NH: Jeremiah Smith (1, Moderate)
The complete opposite of Delaware, with Smith boxing William Plumer comfortably

NJ: John Bayard (2, Moderate)
This was a spirited race between the 66 year old Bayard and 48 year old Aaron Ogden. Turnout was at the utmost and Bayard's comfort level with the state's biases was just enough to see him over the line and the primary winner.

NY: Silas Wood (1, Moderate)
There was only a tiny, tiny, once in a lifetime chance for Wood to beat the High Tories political machine backing Gouverner Morris, and it didn't happen.

It seemed unlikely that John Bayard would manage to beat the incumbent John Lambert at first look, but as NY-4 showed anything can happen.

Also, since no one ran in Mississippi, it seemed likely that Winthrop Sargent would again be able to handpick a representative who would owe him. And the Attorney General still had not declared whether he would become a Senator.

Auspicious beginnings of a restoration indeed for the Moderate Federalists. That win in Mississippi gave them statehouse and Senate representation and seemed all but assured of giving them a House voice. And the inspiration of that victory helped fuel what primary successes the faction enjoyed.

Perhaps Mississippi would, after all, remain the lone stronghold. Or perhaps they might begin to at last make other in-roads...
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