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I dunno, the facts seem to indicate that Trump's hold over the GOP is not only pretty strong, but it's pretty reliant on him, as DeSantis' and Ramaswamy's attempts to infiltrate using his schtick look to have failed.
Probably a third of state filing deadlines (for primaries) have already passed, and most of the rest will pass by the end of December, so this is group (barring drop-outs) who head into the primaries.
I'm with GD: looks to be shaping up to be a 2-horse race with Trump and Haley, neatly encapsulating the lines drawn in the to-date super one-sided GOP civil war. However, with the kind of polling leads Trump has, and most of the primaries being winner-takes-all/winner-takes-most, I could functionally see this being over by March.
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