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Old 12-22-2023, 07:39 AM   #139
Edward64
General Manager
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Looks like the Israel-Ukraine-Taiwan bill will be pushed to Jan. And even after the Senate agrees, good chance it'll be another grind with the House.

I've read the GOP Senate wants more stringent Parole, Asylum requirements; funding for the border; and a place/camp to put the ones in limbo. But I've not actually seen an analysis of what GOP wants vs Dems willing to offer and places of compromise.

Basically, illegal immigration is a losing issue for Joe. Or at least how his policies are being implemented right now. Joe needs to do something to really turn this around and ultimately, he has to acquiesce to most of the GOP demands to help Ukraine ... it'll be one or the other.

Analysis: Trump and Biden are tied among immigrant voters | CNN Politics
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Now, there isn’t polling – yet – to indicate whether or not voters like the particular words or phrases Trump has invoked in his anti-immigrant rhetoric. But what polls do show is that among voters overall, Trump is far more trusted than the current president on immigration and border security, and he is doing quite well among immigrant voters.

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Take a look at the past two CNN/SSRS polls that asked about a potential Biden vs. Trump general election matchup.
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What we find in an average of the past two CNN surveys is that neither Biden nor Trump is ahead: The two are tied at 48% .
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When asked which party’s views on immigration were closer to their own, immigrant voters were only 1 point more likely to say the Democratic Party than the Republican Party. This is well within the margin of error.
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In a November Marquette University Law School survey, 50% of registered voters said Trump would do better on border security and immigration. Just 27% of voters said Biden would. (A September poll found similarly.)
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This is a big change from what we saw on a similar poll question in 2020. Back then, Biden (43%) and Trump (42%) were basically tied on the question of who would handle immigration and border security better.
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Nearly 80% of voters want an increased effort presence at the southern border to stop illegal immigration, according to a September Marquette poll. This includes a majority of Democrats, Republicans and independents.
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Even when it comes to something as controversial as building a wall along the US-Mexico border, we’ve seen a significant switch. The two most recent Fox News polls and the latest Quinnipiac University survey found for the first time that a majority of voters favored building Trump’s long-called-for wall along the US southern border.

On why Trump is doing better than expected with legal immigrants ...
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That may be part of the reason why many voters – immigrants among them – are, at a minimum, willing to look past Trump’s rhetoric. They believe Trump is more likely than Biden to do what they prefer when it comes to immigration and the border.

The CNN article says below. I agree its not "top issue" but it's somewhat misleading. It is an "extremely important" issue for 44% of voters based on a CNN Nov 2022 article.
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For one thing, immigration and border security is not their top issue. Over 40% cited economic concerns (including inflation) as the top issue facing the country. Only a little more than 10% named immigration and border security.

These numbers are generally in line with the population as a whole.

Last edited by Edward64 : 12-22-2023 at 07:42 AM.
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