[molson]

It seems like the betting public has finally figured out these fights, and Paul is the heavy betting favorite. Before now, Paul's hand-picked, older, punch-drunk, big name opponent would get the general public betting money because, of course they're going to be up a YouTube punk.

But fighting is a young man's game and old name fighters almost never do well, either in actual sanctioned fights, or in parking lots.

But, we also don't know yet if this will be an actual sanctioned fight. California wouldn't fully sanction Tyson last time, so they had a bunch of weird rules like bigger gloves, shorter rounds, any cut or blood ended the fight, and the fighters "weren't allowed to go for a knockout". And, no official judges, just unofficial WBC celebrity ex-boxing judges.

If it's a real fight, and they had to state-shop to find a place that would sanction Tyson for it, that should probably tell you what his chances are. Also though, I don't think Paul wants to kill Tyson, that would be bad for his brand. Maybe they'll also have some kind of understanding, but, I also don't buy that it's worth the risk to literally commit crimes and rig these fights.