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Originally Posted by Ksyrup
As a relative newbie to Independent status
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Is this just for 2024 or a more permanent thing?
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It should have started like 2 months after Biden won. The Dem machine should not have given Biden the decision. You don't humiliate the guy, of course - he's owed more than that - but the back-room discussions and messaging should have occurred to negotiate an exit strategy for Biden and potential candidates early on. It's not that hard to find a reasonable exit strategy for an 82 year old, you know?
And if he resisted, you simply don't give him the space to make that challenge. You move on. In the same way the GOP has moved on with Trump, the Dems could have moved on without Biden. It would have signaled yet another way in which Dems are different from the GOP and serious about governing above politics.
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I personally don't buy this. 2 months in, the Democrat political apparatchik had no chance to convince Joe they were going to replace him in 2024.
Arguably last Fall 2023 would have been a good time. But even then, which other candidate had better chance of beating Trump. Which other candidate wouldn't be entrapped one-way-or-another with/against Israel or Ukraine or the GOP House dysfunction or less experience than Joe.
Joe's got a pretty good record. With the economy/markets turning, he has a decent shot regardless of what polls currently say. IMO the only thing that can stop him is (1) him appearing like an old blundering fool who can't or struggles to remember important things (2) losing the independent vote.