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Old 02-21-2004, 06:35 PM   #18
John Galt
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Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: The Internets
Fair enough. I just keep thinking back to all the things players still "know" even when statistics say otherwise. Clutch hitting is the most famous example, but other things like players doing better in contract years, pitchers having a ton of control beyond the 3 true outcomes, and catchers substantially improving pitching staffs are all "truths" that have been tested and discredited. Yet, players cling to them. Being close to the game gives you a lot of insight, but it also blinds you because you are just too close. Until people start seeing "poise" without success and predicting "poise" successfully, I'm going to continue to be skeptical. Observation in hindsight is just too damn easy.
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