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Very early to have any kind of circles of trust, but I'll go out on a limb and suggest that Mr. W is unlikely to be a wolf. I don't think I have seen a game yet where someone dropped from the game in the role of a bad guy - first time for everything but I'll start with this premise until I have a reason to think otherwise.
I'll stick with my vote from yesterday at this point - VOTE ARDENT ENTHUSIAST for no good reason other than I think it makes sense to vote for someone at this point rather than to wait until end of day and bandwagon someone. It also gives him time to respond if he feels the need to do so. AE has been pretty quiet so far this game, which doesn't necessarily fit with my impressions of him from past games. Feels like a reach, but anything on Day 1 is a reach.
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