Quote:
Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA
Honestly though, at this point, if you're running at the 2% mark or lower (which is roughly where the cutoff seems likely to be) your chances of being relevant to the overall discussion are extremely low anyway.
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See, I'm arguing that's not even remotely true. That's not how the process works. If you look at the history of the polls, those that come out this early are completely clueless.
At this point in 2008, for example, Giuliani was the national poll leader. He was GONE by the time of the Iowa caucus.
At this point in 2012, Santorum wasn't over 2 percent nationally, wasn't over 3 percent in Iowa, but he not only won Iowa, he won 11 other states and came in 2nd.
Limiting to 10 is fine. Or doing two "heats" of 8. But NOT based on these polls. Putting any faith at all in these polls is the part I'm lambasting.