Quote:
Originally Posted by Brian Swartz
It's not though, if you can throw them out based soley on the schedule they play. Based on how they perform against that schedule? Sure. There's definitely an argument for their defense not being good enough, for example. The players and coaches can't just decide to play a tougher schedule this year though, so you're taking the possibility of them earning a spot totally out of their hands by making that an automatic disqualifier.
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I recognize how difficult it is to adjust schedules given how far in advance they are typically put together, and the reality that blue bloods have little incentive to schedule a high-performing mid major like UCF. So the tough truth is, yes, given a not particularly rigorous schedule, they stand little chance of making the CFP. But I’m failing to see how that’s a bad thing. Given the much wider the disparity is between the best and the worst in FBS football compared to the NFL, schedule difficulty
should matter.
Now if UCF was being evaluated as a top-4 team by advanced metrics like FEI, S&P and even Sagarin then they could plead their case. But their best ranking among those is 6th in FEI and as low as 20th by Sagarin.