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Comey · 05-07-2020, 08:16 PM

JBL | The Quadaily 25, 2028 Season (Day 121): Certainties and The Best Win By The Worst Team

What certainties are guaranteed at this stage, with just a few days to go in the regular season? Let's take a look at what we know for certain.

A-10: St. Joe's, Dayton and Richmond are the top three seeds for the conference tournament. After that is anyone's guess. It is *likely* that the order will be the same, with St. Joe's holding the tiebreaker over Dayton, and Dayton currently holding the tiebreaker over Richmond. But it isn't certain yet.

A-Sun: Florida Gulf Coast and NJIT are the top two seeds. If FGCU wins against North Florida, they win the regular season title. Only one of them will go to the CJBL Tournament.

AAC: Memphis is the top seed in the tournament, and the regular season champion. The Tigers are also certain to make the CJBL Tournament. After that?

ACC: Duke, Virginia, UNC, and NC State are the top four seeds in the ACC Tournament. Duke is the ACC champion with a win or a UNC loss. We would also say it is certain that those four, along with Pitt, will make the CJBL Tournament.

AAEC: Hartford is the regular season champion and top seed in the conference tournament. Only one team will make the CJBL.

Big 12: Kansas is the Big 12 regular season champion. We won't say that anything else is certain. We'd say it's likely that Kansas State is in the CJBL Tournament, and likely that Iowa State is, too. Oklahoma is probably there, too. But we won't get ahead of ourselves...yet.

Big East: Connecticut, Villanova and Georgetown are the top three seeds in the tournament. We *think* UConn is the regular season champion, but a loss to Villanova could force some weird tiebreakers to come into play. All three are certainties for the CJBL Tournament. We believe Creighton and St. John's are in too, and that's it.

Big Sky: Idaho is the regular season champi. Montana Sate and Weber State are disappointments as the 2 and 3 seeds, however order that ends up. Only one of them is going to the CJBL Tournament.

BIg South: Gardner-Webb is the top seed. Only one team will make the CJBL.

Big Ten: Indiana has won the Big Ten regular season title. Illinois is, from what we determine, the two seed. Maryland, Ohio State, Michigan State, and Purdue will join them in the CJBL Tournament. Iowa isn't a certainty, but is on the doorstep, we think.

Big West: One team will make the CJBL Tournament. That's the only thing ertain right now. That and the Cal State schools didn't have great seasons.

CAA: Drexel is certain for a CJBL nod, regardless of whether it wins the conference tournament. Nobody else is making it unless they get through Drexel.

CUSA: Charlotte is the conference's top seed. They are not a certainty for an at-large, but they are the overwhelming favorite to win the thing.

Horizon: Illinois-Chicago is the regular season champion, Milwaukee is the two, and Oakland the three-seed. Only one team is making the CJBL, and Illinois-Chicago is not getting in as an at-large.

Ivy: Cornell, Harvard, Penn and Princeton are your entrants for the conference tournament. Only one of those four teams will get the auto-bid. There will be no at-larges.

MAAC: Fairfield won their second straight MAAC championship, and is two wins away from a school record for wins. That said, only one team from the conference is getting into the CJBL Tournament. Niagara is certain to be the #2 seed, while Iona is the three.

MAC: Kent State is the regular season champion with a win in their final two games. Only one MAC team is getting a spot in the CJBL.

MEAC: Morgan State is the conference regular season champion. Only bid is coming out of the MEAC.

MVC: Illinois State and Loyola-Chicago are tied atop the conference. But Loyola has the higher RPI-SOS. So, if they stay tied, LC would get the top seed and the regular season title. Only one team from the conference is getting into the CJBL.

MWC: UNLV now holds the regular season championship in its grasp, due to RPI-SOS. There is no certainty with anything else, but it is likely that two teams get into the CJBL. This is especially true if UNLV and San Diego State make the conference final. New Mexico and Wyoming have to auto-bid their way into the tournament.

NEC: Bryant is the runaway winner for the regular season title. That said, the only way they, or anyone else in the conference, is getting into the CJBL is by winning the conference tournament.

OVC: Murray State cruised to the conference title. This is a one-bid conference.

Pac-12: Colorado wins the regular season title if they win out. USC, Washington, and Utah will round out the top four, though their order is uncertain. Those four, along with Arizona and Stanford, will get into the CJBL. No other team from the conference will, unless one of them wins the conference title.

Patriot: Bucknell holds the RPI-SOS tiebreak over Layfayette. The Bison will get consideration for an at-large bid if they won't win the conference...but it may end at just consideration.

SEC: Kentucky and Mizzou are tied atop the conference. They face each other at Mizzou to close out the regular season, so that is a de facto title game, assuming both teams remain tied going into that game (UK hosts Florida, Mizzou goes to Tennessee). Florida and LSU will make up the top four, while Arkansas will be the five-seed. Those five are certain for the CJBL. Tennessee is fighting for its tournament life. Anyone else, Alabama included, needs to win the conference title.

Southern: East Tennessee State is the regular season champion in what will be a one-bid conference.

Southland: This is interesting. Northwestern State leads Stephen F Austin by a game; however, the two teams haven't faced each other yet. They will on 125, at SFA. So, if SFA wins that game, they are the regular season champions. Regardless, this is a one-bid conference.

Summit: South Dakota State is the regular season champion, up by three games over Denver. There is a three-way tie for third between North Dakota State, Oral Roberts, and South Dakota. One-bid conference.

Sun Belt: Texas State is the regular season champ in a one-bid conference. Arkansas State is the 2-seed.

SWAC: Arkansas Pine-Bluff is the regular season champion in a one-bid conference.

WAC: Utah Valley is the regular season champ in a one-bid conference.

WCC: Gonzaga is the regular season champion, and will be in the CJBL regardless of whether they win the conference tournament. Saint Marys, the 2-seed, is likely in, but not certain. Anyone else has to win their way in.

The Best Win of the Under Fives

What is the best win among the worst teams in the nation? We took a look at the worst teams in the nation, and tried to find the best win.

(By the way, this is simply by record; Texas-San Antonio is the worst in the nation, by RPI+SOS. They're 7-19. The worst of the worst records, Chattanooga, is ahead of four teams: UTSA, Maine, New Hampshire, and Saint Peters. Way to go, AEC.)

Lipscomb (4-22 in the A-Sun): The Bisons (isn't the plural form of bison "bison"?) got their first win against Bellarmine (8-17), 78-67, after nine losses. After, it would be eight losses before they beat, once again, Bellarmine, 78-67. So two teams against the same team, by the same score. Interesting. The Bison...s...beat Kennesaw State (15-12), 73-59, and just beat Jacksonville (13-13) on the road, 72-69.

Best win so far: Lipscomb (4-22) d. Kennesaw State (15-12) 73-59

South Florida (4-25 in AAC): The Bulls lost seven straight to start the season, before beating Niagara (18-11, 2nd in the MAAC). The Bulls also beat Tulsa, Temple, and Central Florida, none of which are going to move the needle. But that win over Niagara takes over as the best win by a worst team.

Best win now: South Florida (4-25) d. Niagara (18-11), 84-76, Day 45

Providence (4-25 in BIg East): The Friars are a reclamation project waiting to happen. What a challenge that team would be. It should be known that their RPI+SOS is 160th, which is directly ahead of 18-9 Montana State. (The perks of being in the Big East.) All of the Friars wins came in OOC play. They lost two before beating UC-Davis, 67-53. They won their next game against UNC Asheville (17-12), 73-70. They also own wins over Western Kentucky (13-15) and South Alabama (14-14).

UNC-Asheville is 2nd in the Big South, and 198th in RPI+SOS. Niagara is 204th. So, we have a new leader in the clubhouse.

New best win, worst team: Providence (4-25) d. UNC-Asheville (17-12), 73-70

Delaware (5-21 in Colonial): Delaware lost two before beating Tennessee-Martin (15-13), 64-56. After losing another game, they beat...on, Bellarmine (71-58), followed by a win against Georgia Southern). Oddly enough, the Fightin Blue Hens started play in the CAA 2-0, beating UNC-Wilmington and College of Charleston. None of these wins qualify as a good win...though you have to wonder about Bellarmine, who has three losses (so far) to teams five wins and under.

Still your bad-team champ: Providence (4-25) d. UNC-Asheville (17-12), 73-70

Columbia (4-18 in the Ivy Group): The Lions lost three to open the year, before beating heated rival Southeastern Louisiana (13-13), 77-58. We made the joke about these teams being heated rivals, but hell, two games later, they faced each other again. (We didn't see that coming, actually, when we made the joke.) Columbia got the season sweep, 83-64. They followed that up with a win over Vermont (9-15), before losing eleven in a row before taking down Dartmouth, 70-56. Half of their wins came against the same team. Oof.

Your defending champ: Providence (4-25) d. UNC-Asheville (17-12), 73-70

Miami (OH) (3-24 n MAC): The Redhawks went 18-15 last season, and had never won fewer than ten in a year. Now, they have the worst record in the nation. Ouch. And they started 2-1...even more ouch. They beat Longwood (13-15) 52-44, before edging out Incarnate Word (49-48). They own a conference win at Northern Illinois, 68-60. They haven't won since that Day 58 game. (NIU got the return game, 56-44.)

Holding Serve: Providence (4-25) d. UNC-Asheville (17-12), 73-70

Colgate (4-21 in Patriot): Colgate lost ten to start the year before beating Holy Cross (10-16), 70-64. Two games later, the Raiders took down American on the road, 86-79. They also own wins over Boston University (75-65) and Army (84-78).

In case you're wondering why we aren't giving records for each team, it takes time for us to research the records, so we're using the team rankings to decide if we should look one up. BU was 249th and Army 348th. So yeah...no need.

The Champ Is STILL Here: Providence (4-25) d. UNC-Asheville (17-12), 73-70

Chattanooga (4-21 in Southern): The Mocs lost a game before beating Marist 74-63. Six games later, they absolutely destroyed Maryland-Eastern Shore (15-13), 91-59. That's insane. The Hawks were 3-6 after that game, so it's not like they were lighting it up then. The Mocs made 13 threes and went 24-28 from the line. Their other wins are against Mercer (70-51) and Wofford (76-69).

Now, from sheer WTFMR~! perspective, the Mocs win is the "best" win. But in terms of beating a quality team, Providence takes the title.

Of course, we're doing this with a week left in the regular season, so anything can happen. Of course, it's a stretch that any of these teams will get another win.

2028 Bad Team, Good Win Champion: Providence (4-25) d. UNC-Asheville (17-12), 73-70

The Quadaily 25, 2028 Season
Day 121

1. Indiana (27-2, 1)
2. Duke (26-4, 3)
3. Kansas (24-4, 4)
4. Missouri (25-4, 6)
5. Kentucky (27-2, 2)
6. Illinois (25-4, 7)
7. North Carolina (25-6, 9)
8. Connecticut (26-5, 5)
9. Colorado (25-5, 10)
10. Virginia (25-5, 8)
11. NC State (24-5, 12)
12. Southern Cal (24-6, 14)
13. Florida (22-6, 15)
14. Villanova (22-7, 16)
15. Washington (23-7, 11)
16. Maryland (20-8, 13)
17. Memphis (25-5, 18)
18. Utah (22-7, 19)
19. Gonzaga (24-3, 21)
20. San Diego State (26-3, 23)
21. UNLV (24-5, 24)
22. Stanford (21-9, 20)
23. Georgetown (22-8, NR)
24. Ohio State (23-8, NR)
25. Pittsburgh (21-8, 25)
Next: Arizona, St. Joe's, New Mexico, Drexel, Kansas State
Dropped Out: New Mexico (17), Iowa State (22)

05-07-2020, 08:16 PM	#27
Comey College Starter Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: CT via PA via CA via PA	The Quadaily 25, 2028 Season (Day 121): Certainties and The Best Win By The Worst Tea JBL \| The Quadaily 25, 2028 Season (Day 121): Certainties and The Best Win By The Worst Team What certainties are guaranteed at this stage, with just a few days to go in the regular season? Let's take a look at what we know for certain. A-10: St. Joe's, Dayton and Richmond are the top three seeds for the conference tournament. After that is anyone's guess. It is likely that the order will be the same, with St. Joe's holding the tiebreaker over Dayton, and Dayton currently holding the tiebreaker over Richmond. But it isn't certain yet. A-Sun: Florida Gulf Coast and NJIT are the top two seeds. If FGCU wins against North Florida, they win the regular season title. Only one of them will go to the CJBL Tournament. AAC: Memphis is the top seed in the tournament, and the regular season champion. The Tigers are also certain to make the CJBL Tournament. After that? ACC: Duke, Virginia, UNC, and NC State are the top four seeds in the ACC Tournament. Duke is the ACC champion with a win or a UNC loss. We would also say it is certain that those four, along with Pitt, will make the CJBL Tournament. AAEC: Hartford is the regular season champion and top seed in the conference tournament. Only one team will make the CJBL. Big 12: Kansas is the Big 12 regular season champion. We won't say that anything else is certain. We'd say it's likely that Kansas State is in the CJBL Tournament, and likely that Iowa State is, too. Oklahoma is probably there, too. But we won't get ahead of ourselves...yet. Big East: Connecticut, Villanova and Georgetown are the top three seeds in the tournament. We think UConn is the regular season champion, but a loss to Villanova could force some weird tiebreakers to come into play. All three are certainties for the CJBL Tournament. We believe Creighton and St. John's are in too, and that's it. Big Sky: Idaho is the regular season champi. Montana Sate and Weber State are disappointments as the 2 and 3 seeds, however order that ends up. Only one of them is going to the CJBL Tournament. BIg South: Gardner-Webb is the top seed. Only one team will make the CJBL. Big Ten: Indiana has won the Big Ten regular season title. Illinois is, from what we determine, the two seed. Maryland, Ohio State, Michigan State, and Purdue will join them in the CJBL Tournament. Iowa isn't a certainty, but is on the doorstep, we think. Big West: One team will make the CJBL Tournament. That's the only thing ertain right now. That and the Cal State schools didn't have great seasons. CAA: Drexel is certain for a CJBL nod, regardless of whether it wins the conference tournament. Nobody else is making it unless they get through Drexel. CUSA: Charlotte is the conference's top seed. They are not a certainty for an at-large, but they are the overwhelming favorite to win the thing. Horizon: Illinois-Chicago is the regular season champion, Milwaukee is the two, and Oakland the three-seed. Only one team is making the CJBL, and Illinois-Chicago is not getting in as an at-large. Ivy: Cornell, Harvard, Penn and Princeton are your entrants for the conference tournament. Only one of those four teams will get the auto-bid. There will be no at-larges. MAAC: Fairfield won their second straight MAAC championship, and is two wins away from a school record for wins. That said, only one team from the conference is getting into the CJBL Tournament. Niagara is certain to be the #2 seed, while Iona is the three. MAC: Kent State is the regular season champion with a win in their final two games. Only one MAC team is getting a spot in the CJBL. MEAC: Morgan State is the conference regular season champion. Only bid is coming out of the MEAC. MVC: Illinois State and Loyola-Chicago are tied atop the conference. But Loyola has the higher RPI-SOS. So, if they stay tied, LC would get the top seed and the regular season title. Only one team from the conference is getting into the CJBL. MWC: UNLV now holds the regular season championship in its grasp, due to RPI-SOS. There is no certainty with anything else, but it is likely that two teams get into the CJBL. This is especially true if UNLV and San Diego State make the conference final. New Mexico and Wyoming have to auto-bid their way into the tournament. NEC: Bryant is the runaway winner for the regular season title. That said, the only way they, or anyone else in the conference, is getting into the CJBL is by winning the conference tournament. OVC: Murray State cruised to the conference title. This is a one-bid conference. Pac-12: Colorado wins the regular season title if they win out. USC, Washington, and Utah will round out the top four, though their order is uncertain. Those four, along with Arizona and Stanford, will get into the CJBL. No other team from the conference will, unless one of them wins the conference title. Patriot: Bucknell holds the RPI-SOS tiebreak over Layfayette. The Bison will get consideration for an at-large bid if they won't win the conference...but it may end at just consideration. SEC: Kentucky and Mizzou are tied atop the conference. They face each other at Mizzou to close out the regular season, so that is a de facto title game, assuming both teams remain tied going into that game (UK hosts Florida, Mizzou goes to Tennessee). Florida and LSU will make up the top four, while Arkansas will be the five-seed. Those five are certain for the CJBL. Tennessee is fighting for its tournament life. Anyone else, Alabama included, needs to win the conference title. Southern: East Tennessee State is the regular season champion in what will be a one-bid conference. Southland: This is interesting. Northwestern State leads Stephen F Austin by a game; however, the two teams haven't faced each other yet. They will on 125, at SFA. So, if SFA wins that game, they are the regular season champions. Regardless, this is a one-bid conference. Summit: South Dakota State is the regular season champion, up by three games over Denver. There is a three-way tie for third between North Dakota State, Oral Roberts, and South Dakota. One-bid conference. Sun Belt: Texas State is the regular season champ in a one-bid conference. Arkansas State is the 2-seed. SWAC: Arkansas Pine-Bluff is the regular season champion in a one-bid conference. WAC: Utah Valley is the regular season champ in a one-bid conference. WCC: Gonzaga is the regular season champion, and will be in the CJBL regardless of whether they win the conference tournament. Saint Marys, the 2-seed, is likely in, but not certain. Anyone else has to win their way in. The Best Win of the Under Fives What is the best win among the worst teams in the nation? We took a look at the worst teams in the nation, and tried to find the best win. (By the way, this is simply by record; Texas-San Antonio is the worst in the nation, by RPI+SOS. They're 7-19. The worst of the worst records, Chattanooga, is ahead of four teams: UTSA, Maine, New Hampshire, and Saint Peters. Way to go, AEC.) Lipscomb (4-22 in the A-Sun): The Bisons (isn't the plural form of bison "bison"?) got their first win against Bellarmine (8-17), 78-67, after nine losses. After, it would be eight losses before they beat, once again, Bellarmine, 78-67. So two teams against the same team, by the same score. Interesting. The Bison...s...beat Kennesaw State (15-12), 73-59, and just beat Jacksonville (13-13) on the road, 72-69. Best win so far: Lipscomb (4-22) d. Kennesaw State (15-12) 73-59 South Florida (4-25 in AAC): The Bulls lost seven straight to start the season, before beating Niagara (18-11, 2nd in the MAAC). The Bulls also beat Tulsa, Temple, and Central Florida, none of which are going to move the needle. But that win over Niagara takes over as the best win by a worst team. Best win now: South Florida (4-25) d. Niagara (18-11), 84-76, Day 45 Providence (4-25 in BIg East): The Friars are a reclamation project waiting to happen. What a challenge that team would be. It should be known that their RPI+SOS is 160th, which is directly ahead of 18-9 Montana State. (The perks of being in the Big East.) All of the Friars wins came in OOC play. They lost two before beating UC-Davis, 67-53. They won their next game against UNC Asheville (17-12), 73-70. They also own wins over Western Kentucky (13-15) and South Alabama (14-14). UNC-Asheville is 2nd in the Big South, and 198th in RPI+SOS. Niagara is 204th. So, we have a new leader in the clubhouse. New best win, worst team: Providence (4-25) d. UNC-Asheville (17-12), 73-70 Delaware (5-21 in Colonial): Delaware lost two before beating Tennessee-Martin (15-13), 64-56. After losing another game, they beat...on, Bellarmine (71-58), followed by a win against Georgia Southern). Oddly enough, the Fightin Blue Hens started play in the CAA 2-0, beating UNC-Wilmington and College of Charleston. None of these wins qualify as a good win...though you have to wonder about Bellarmine, who has three losses (so far) to teams five wins and under. Still your bad-team champ: Providence (4-25) d. UNC-Asheville (17-12), 73-70 Columbia (4-18 in the Ivy Group): The Lions lost three to open the year, before beating heated rival Southeastern Louisiana (13-13), 77-58. We made the joke about these teams being heated rivals, but hell, two games later, they faced each other again. (We didn't see that coming, actually, when we made the joke.) Columbia got the season sweep, 83-64. They followed that up with a win over Vermont (9-15), before losing eleven in a row before taking down Dartmouth, 70-56. Half of their wins came against the same team. Oof. Your defending champ: Providence (4-25) d. UNC-Asheville (17-12), 73-70 Miami (OH) (3-24 n MAC): The Redhawks went 18-15 last season, and had never won fewer than ten in a year. Now, they have the worst record in the nation. Ouch. And they started 2-1...even more ouch. They beat Longwood (13-15) 52-44, before edging out Incarnate Word (49-48). They own a conference win at Northern Illinois, 68-60. They haven't won since that Day 58 game. (NIU got the return game, 56-44.) Holding Serve: Providence (4-25) d. UNC-Asheville (17-12), 73-70 Colgate (4-21 in Patriot): Colgate lost ten to start the year before beating Holy Cross (10-16), 70-64. Two games later, the Raiders took down American on the road, 86-79. They also own wins over Boston University (75-65) and Army (84-78). In case you're wondering why we aren't giving records for each team, it takes time for us to research the records, so we're using the team rankings to decide if we should look one up. BU was 249th and Army 348th. So yeah...no need. The Champ Is STILL Here: Providence (4-25) d. UNC-Asheville (17-12), 73-70 Chattanooga (4-21 in Southern): The Mocs lost a game before beating Marist 74-63. Six games later, they absolutely destroyed Maryland-Eastern Shore (15-13), 91-59. That's insane. The Hawks were 3-6 after that game, so it's not like they were lighting it up then. The Mocs made 13 threes and went 24-28 from the line. Their other wins are against Mercer (70-51) and Wofford (76-69). Now, from sheer WTFMR~! perspective, the Mocs win is the "best" win. But in terms of beating a quality team, Providence takes the title. Of course, we're doing this with a week left in the regular season, so anything can happen. Of course, it's a stretch that any of these teams will get another win. 2028 Bad Team, Good Win Champion: Providence (4-25) d. UNC-Asheville (17-12), 73-70 The Quadaily 25, 2028 Season Day 121 1. Indiana (27-2, 1) 2. Duke (26-4, 3) 3. Kansas (24-4, 4) 4. Missouri (25-4, 6) 5. Kentucky (27-2, 2) 6. Illinois (25-4, 7) 7. North Carolina (25-6, 9) 8. Connecticut (26-5, 5) 9. Colorado (25-5, 10) 10. Virginia (25-5, 8) 11. NC State (24-5, 12) 12. Southern Cal (24-6, 14) 13. Florida (22-6, 15) 14. Villanova (22-7, 16) 15. Washington (23-7, 11) 16. Maryland (20-8, 13) 17. Memphis (25-5, 18) 18. Utah (22-7, 19) 19. Gonzaga (24-3, 21) 20. San Diego State (26-3, 23) 21. UNLV (24-5, 24) 22. Stanford (21-9, 20) 23. Georgetown (22-8, NR) 24. Ohio State (23-8, NR) 25. Pittsburgh (21-8, 25) Next: Arizona, St. Joe's, New Mexico, Drexel, Kansas State Dropped Out: New Mexico (17), Iowa State (22) __________________