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Comey · 05-30-2020, 03:38 PM

JBL | The Quadaily 25, 2029 Season (Day 25): A Few of The Undefeated (Because We Ran Out of Time For All 16)

Beofre we begin, there was a debate in the preseason as to what was the best conference, the ACC or the Pac-12.

You know how we know the Pac-12 is the best conference in the country? It's worst team right now, record-wise, is Washington, at 6-2. Nine ACC teams have records worse than the worst team in the Pac-12. Boston College is 1-5.

That's how we know the Pac-12 is the best conference in the country.

The State of the Undefeated

As of this writing, there are sixteen undefeated teams left in the country. Let's take a look at them.

Cincinnati (5-0): We've already written about Cincinnati and their chances to go undefeated in the regular season. We don't want to look past Drexel (we'll kindly look past Fairfield), but realistically, their best chance at a loss is at Villanova on Day 53.

Best Chance of Their First Loss: Day 53 @ Villanova. Beating Villanova on the road is quite tough, even for a team as good as the Bearcats are.

Chances of going undefeated: 15%.

Miami (FL) (5-0): The Hurricanes' toughest opponent so far is Northwestern; Miami gained a 64-58 win. We cannot really put much into their team stats, but they do rebound well, especially on the offensive end (6th in the nation). Their bench has also been impressive (3rd in the nation in bench scoring). The Canes have been led by Marcus McNeill, who is averaging 20.8 ppg and 4.8 rpg. He's shooting just 40.6%, though, and second-leading scorer Pietro Graziani shooting 37.9% from the field, they are bound to get tripped up.

Best Chance of Their First Loss: Day 44 vs Florida. The Gators are definitely better than the Canes; how good the Canes are, we don't precisely know.

Chances of going undefeated: 0% chance. We should follow the logic that any team that is undefeated has A chance of doing so, but come on. This is the ACC.

Duke (6-0): The Blue Devils have run through an early gauntlet once again; last season, they marched through the most difficult schedule in the nation...before getting tripped up by Michigan State. On the docket are games at Kansas, UConn, Kentucky, Indiana, and Maryland, with a neutral date against UNLV sandwiched in between. We know UConn is not good (Duke already owns an 11-point win over them), Kansas poses a much greater challenge...as does the back end of that schedule (UNLV, at Indiana, Maryland). We don't particularly feel Kentucky to be of the quality that can knock them off.

Best chance of Their First loss: Day 27 at Kansas. There are several opportunities for Duke to get knocked off. With their porous defense, Kansas may be the team that gets them. If it isn't them, then we thnk it'll be at Indiana, due to the Hoosiers' own defensive prowess (and having the best player on the court in Kevon Capel).

Chances of going undefeated: 0%. Duke has too tough of a schedule, and there is still the ACC to worry about.

Providence (6-0): This is really the first, and maybe, biggest feel-good story on this list. Providence won four games a year ago. The reason for their wins is two-fold: one is their schedule, of course...though wins over Marshall and Baylor are solid, they have yet to have an away game. The bigger and more impressive reason, and the one we had optimism for them in the preseason, is their defense. They are second in the nation in oPPG (57.2) and 20th in DRtg (93.2). No matter who you play, when you're posting those numbers after half-a-dozen games, you're doing some impressive work. They are far from a juggernaut on offense; however, Aaron Clover has arrived, averaging 15.8 points on 58.5% shooting.

Best Chance of Their First Loss: Day 28 at St. Bonaventure. The Friars have four games in five days, with a back-to-back-to-back coming up. They'll beat winless Rider, but the Bonnies may trip them up. We doubt either Farleigh Dickinson or Brown will beat them, so if they get past the game on Day 28, they'll go into Big East play without a blemish. Then they'd take a blemish.

Chances of going undefeated: Zero. They don't have the depth to successfully contend for a Big East title, so they're going to take some losses. It is quite possible that this team can go .500 in the conference, though. That probably doesn't get them into the CJBL, but it would get them into the JIT. That would be an impressive accomplishment, given how this program went winless in the conference a year ago.

UC-Davis (7-0): The Aggies are first in points scored per game, offensive rating, and net rating. Their pace is 41st. Their effective field goal rate is 8th in the nation. They rank 4th in field goals made and are 10th in FG%. They're 11th in free throws made.. They're first in assists, and first in transition points. Twice they have gone over 100 points. That's great, except...they have played absolutely nobody. Nevermind that, though...their most-used lineup has a NetRtg of 59.9. FIFTY-NINE POINT NINE. Think about that. The trio of Patrick Casper (18.4 ppg, 6.0 rpg), Elijah Williams (14.7/3.9/7.1) and Alex Jones (11.4/6.0/2.1) has been deadline for opposing teams.

Best Chance of Their First Loss: At Cal, Day 45. That will be an interesting game, because Cal's another team that has feasted on weak competition. And for the conference continually poking the bear, it will be curious to see what the Bears do when squared up with maybe the conference's best team.

Chances of Going Undefeated: Zero. Like every team here, UC Davis is not talented or consistent enough to pull an undefeated season. If they get past Cal, well...then we'll talk. But given that two other teams in the conference are undefeated, chances are that these teams will make each other miserable come conference season.

Hawaii (3-0): The Warriors beat Maryland-Eastern Shore, Abilene Christian, and High Point. Not exactly the strongest resume. They are another offensive unit, rating 21st in points per game (up from 349th last year), and 22nd in ORtg. They are poor on defense, rating 205th in the nation (down from 4th last year). What a weird reversal this team has undergone. They do have Sayeed Tolier, an efficient-scoring point man (12.3 ppg on 48% shooting). The most amazing thing about Tolivar, though, is that through three games (78 minutes), he has nineteen assists (6.3/g) and ZERO turnovers (0.0/g).

Best Chance at Their First Loss: If it doesn't come at Nevada (Day 25), it's coming either against Kansas State (35) or at Purdue (38).

Chances of Going Undefeated: Zero.

Cal Poly (5-0): The Mustangs' best win is Northern Iowa at home on Day 24. That was a 49-36 game, Northern Iowa is now 3-4, and it set the CJBL back about 45 years. But that's what Cal Poly brings to the table. They are a possession-limiting team. They are 17th in ORtg, and 18th in oPPG. They are built in that Virginia, Colorado-esque frame of teams that take their time (330th in pace), make the most of their possessions, and force teams to keep up with limited space with which to work. It's a sound strategy, especially when your leading scorer (Solomon Douglas) puts up just 11.6 ppg (though he's shooting 52.3% from the field). Caleb Van Dyke is putting up 10.6 ppg on 56.7% from the field, and a ridiculous 65.2% on 4.6 threes a game. So they do have the efficiency thing going for them.

Best Chance at Their First Loss: Day 46 at Rhode Island. It is unlikely that any of the teams left on their remaining OOC schedule outside of the Rams will pose a major threat. Even a trip to Southern Utah on Day 53 shouldn't be a game they lose.

Chance of Going Undefeated: Nah.

Quadaily 25, 2029 Season
Day 25

1. Southern Cal (5-1, 2)
2. Cincinnati (5-0, 3)
3. Colorado (6-1, 4)
4. Ohio State (6-1, 1)
5. Georgetown (5-1, 5)
6. Maryland (4-2, 6)
7. North Carolina (3-2, 9)
8. Utah (4-1, 7)
9. Syracuse (5-1, 8)
10. Kansas (3-2, 10)
11. UNLV (5-1, 12)
12. Arizona (6-0, 13)
13. Villanova (6-1, 14)
14. Duke (6-0, 15)
15. Washington (6-2, 11)
16. Michigan State (4-2, 16)
17. Virginia (5-1, 19)
18. Texas (5-1, 20)
19. Wisconsin (5-1, 21)
20. UCLA (5-0, 22)
21. Marquette (5-1, 18)
22. Iowa State (7-1, 17)
23. Indiana (5-1, 24)
24. Kansas State (2-2, 25)
25. LSU (4-3, NR)
NEXT: Pittsburgh, Alabama, Auburn, Oregon, Michigan
Dropped Out: Pittsburgh (25)

05-30-2020, 03:38 PM	#46
Comey College Starter Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: CT via PA via CA via PA	The Quadaily 25, 2029 Season (Day 25): A Few of The Undefeated (Because We Ran Out of JBL \| The Quadaily 25, 2029 Season (Day 25): A Few of The Undefeated (Because We Ran Out of Time For All 16) Beofre we begin, there was a debate in the preseason as to what was the best conference, the ACC or the Pac-12. You know how we know the Pac-12 is the best conference in the country? It's worst team right now, record-wise, is Washington, at 6-2. Nine ACC teams have records worse than the worst team in the Pac-12. Boston College is 1-5. That's how we know the Pac-12 is the best conference in the country. The State of the Undefeated As of this writing, there are sixteen undefeated teams left in the country. Let's take a look at them. Cincinnati (5-0): We've already written about Cincinnati and their chances to go undefeated in the regular season. We don't want to look past Drexel (we'll kindly look past Fairfield), but realistically, their best chance at a loss is at Villanova on Day 53. Best Chance of Their First Loss: Day 53 @ Villanova. Beating Villanova on the road is quite tough, even for a team as good as the Bearcats are. Chances of going undefeated: 15%. Miami (FL) (5-0): The Hurricanes' toughest opponent so far is Northwestern; Miami gained a 64-58 win. We cannot really put much into their team stats, but they do rebound well, especially on the offensive end (6th in the nation). Their bench has also been impressive (3rd in the nation in bench scoring). The Canes have been led by Marcus McNeill, who is averaging 20.8 ppg and 4.8 rpg. He's shooting just 40.6%, though, and second-leading scorer Pietro Graziani shooting 37.9% from the field, they are bound to get tripped up. Best Chance of Their First Loss: Day 44 vs Florida. The Gators are definitely better than the Canes; how good the Canes are, we don't precisely know. Chances of going undefeated: 0% chance. We should follow the logic that any team that is undefeated has A chance of doing so, but come on. This is the ACC. Duke (6-0): The Blue Devils have run through an early gauntlet once again; last season, they marched through the most difficult schedule in the nation...before getting tripped up by Michigan State. On the docket are games at Kansas, UConn, Kentucky, Indiana, and Maryland, with a neutral date against UNLV sandwiched in between. We know UConn is not good (Duke already owns an 11-point win over them), Kansas poses a much greater challenge...as does the back end of that schedule (UNLV, at Indiana, Maryland). We don't particularly feel Kentucky to be of the quality that can knock them off. Best chance of Their First loss: Day 27 at Kansas. There are several opportunities for Duke to get knocked off. With their porous defense, Kansas may be the team that gets them. If it isn't them, then we thnk it'll be at Indiana, due to the Hoosiers' own defensive prowess (and having the best player on the court in Kevon Capel). Chances of going undefeated: 0%. Duke has too tough of a schedule, and there is still the ACC to worry about. Providence (6-0): This is really the first, and maybe, biggest feel-good story on this list. Providence won four games a year ago. The reason for their wins is two-fold: one is their schedule, of course...though wins over Marshall and Baylor are solid, they have yet to have an away game. The bigger and more impressive reason, and the one we had optimism for them in the preseason, is their defense. They are second in the nation in oPPG (57.2) and 20th in DRtg (93.2). No matter who you play, when you're posting those numbers after half-a-dozen games, you're doing some impressive work. They are far from a juggernaut on offense; however, Aaron Clover has arrived, averaging 15.8 points on 58.5% shooting. Best Chance of Their First Loss: Day 28 at St. Bonaventure. The Friars have four games in five days, with a back-to-back-to-back coming up. They'll beat winless Rider, but the Bonnies may trip them up. We doubt either Farleigh Dickinson or Brown will beat them, so if they get past the game on Day 28, they'll go into Big East play without a blemish. Then they'd take a blemish. Chances of going undefeated: Zero. They don't have the depth to successfully contend for a Big East title, so they're going to take some losses. It is quite possible that this team can go .500 in the conference, though. That probably doesn't get them into the CJBL, but it would get them into the JIT. That would be an impressive accomplishment, given how this program went winless in the conference a year ago. UC-Davis (7-0): The Aggies are first in points scored per game, offensive rating, and net rating. Their pace is 41st. Their effective field goal rate is 8th in the nation. They rank 4th in field goals made and are 10th in FG%. They're 11th in free throws made.. They're first in assists, and first in transition points. Twice they have gone over 100 points. That's great, except...they have played absolutely nobody. Nevermind that, though...their most-used lineup has a NetRtg of 59.9. FIFTY-NINE POINT NINE. Think about that. The trio of Patrick Casper (18.4 ppg, 6.0 rpg), Elijah Williams (14.7/3.9/7.1) and Alex Jones (11.4/6.0/2.1) has been deadline for opposing teams. Best Chance of Their First Loss: At Cal, Day 45. That will be an interesting game, because Cal's another team that has feasted on weak competition. And for the conference continually poking the bear, it will be curious to see what the Bears do when squared up with maybe the conference's best team. Chances of Going Undefeated: Zero. Like every team here, UC Davis is not talented or consistent enough to pull an undefeated season. If they get past Cal, well...then we'll talk. But given that two other teams in the conference are undefeated, chances are that these teams will make each other miserable come conference season. Hawaii (3-0): The Warriors beat Maryland-Eastern Shore, Abilene Christian, and High Point. Not exactly the strongest resume. They are another offensive unit, rating 21st in points per game (up from 349th last year), and 22nd in ORtg. They are poor on defense, rating 205th in the nation (down from 4th last year). What a weird reversal this team has undergone. They do have Sayeed Tolier, an efficient-scoring point man (12.3 ppg on 48% shooting). The most amazing thing about Tolivar, though, is that through three games (78 minutes), he has nineteen assists (6.3/g) and ZERO turnovers (0.0/g). Best Chance at Their First Loss: If it doesn't come at Nevada (Day 25), it's coming either against Kansas State (35) or at Purdue (38). Chances of Going Undefeated: Zero. Cal Poly (5-0): The Mustangs' best win is Northern Iowa at home on Day 24. That was a 49-36 game, Northern Iowa is now 3-4, and it set the CJBL back about 45 years. But that's what Cal Poly brings to the table. They are a possession-limiting team. They are 17th in ORtg, and 18th in oPPG. They are built in that Virginia, Colorado-esque frame of teams that take their time (330th in pace), make the most of their possessions, and force teams to keep up with limited space with which to work. It's a sound strategy, especially when your leading scorer (Solomon Douglas) puts up just 11.6 ppg (though he's shooting 52.3% from the field). Caleb Van Dyke is putting up 10.6 ppg on 56.7% from the field, and a ridiculous 65.2% on 4.6 threes a game. So they do have the efficiency thing going for them. Best Chance at Their First Loss: Day 46 at Rhode Island. It is unlikely that any of the teams left on their remaining OOC schedule outside of the Rams will pose a major threat. Even a trip to Southern Utah on Day 53 shouldn't be a game they lose. Chance of Going Undefeated: Nah. Quadaily 25, 2029 Season Day 25 1. Southern Cal (5-1, 2) 2. Cincinnati (5-0, 3) 3. Colorado (6-1, 4) 4. Ohio State (6-1, 1) 5. Georgetown (5-1, 5) 6. Maryland (4-2, 6) 7. North Carolina (3-2, 9) 8. Utah (4-1, 7) 9. Syracuse (5-1, 8) 10. Kansas (3-2, 10) 11. UNLV (5-1, 12) 12. Arizona (6-0, 13) 13. Villanova (6-1, 14) 14. Duke (6-0, 15) 15. Washington (6-2, 11) 16. Michigan State (4-2, 16) 17. Virginia (5-1, 19) 18. Texas (5-1, 20) 19. Wisconsin (5-1, 21) 20. UCLA (5-0, 22) 21. Marquette (5-1, 18) 22. Iowa State (7-1, 17) 23. Indiana (5-1, 24) 24. Kansas State (2-2, 25) 25. LSU (4-3, NR) NEXT: Pittsburgh, Alabama, Auburn, Oregon, Michigan Dropped Out: Pittsburgh (25) __________________